مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grêmio v Vitoria

البداية: 2026-03-19 22:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grêmio (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.01%1.92السعر العادل
EV -2.74%
الأفضلية -1.47%
Kelly -3.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.18%52.05%52.01%54.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.771.801.8761.73%56.58%55.56%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vitoria (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.72%4.83السعر العادل
EV +6.51%
الأفضلية +1.27%
Kelly +1.57%
النمو +0.102%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.89%20.72%20.79%22.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.544.555.1425.00%22.00%21.98%19.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.27%3.67السعر العادل
EV +0.894%
الأفضلية +0.242%
Kelly +0.331%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.65%27.23%27.20%29.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.423.433.7034.72%29.27%29.15%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.36%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.89%EV +6.51%E +1.27%K +1.57%G +0.102%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.75%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 21:50
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%EV +3.61%E +0.722%K +0.903%G +0.033%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 21:45
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.89%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.35%EV +1.95%E +0.397%K +0.498%G +0.010%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -6.47%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.89%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.35%EV +1.95%E +0.397%K +0.498%G +0.010%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -6.47%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:54
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.89%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.35%EV +1.95%E +0.397%K +0.498%G +0.010%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -6.47%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 21:54
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.22%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV +1.54%E +0.314%K +0.394%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +0.894%E +0.242%K +0.331%G +0.003%3.6%2026-03-19 21:55
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.22%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.70%EV +1.54%E +0.314%K +0.394%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.08%EV +0.894%E +0.242%K +0.331%G +0.003%3.6%2026-03-19 21:55
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.534%E -0.111%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 21:54
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -7.94%E -4.49%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -0.534%E -0.111%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:53
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.57%E -0.331%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 21:44
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.57%E -0.331%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:54
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -1.57%E -0.331%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 21:52
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.57%E -0.331%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.83%E -0.509%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 21:54
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.57%E -0.331%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.83%E -0.509%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.57%E -0.331%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.83%E -0.509%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 21:54
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.57%E -0.331%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.83%E -0.509%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 21:55
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -1.57%E -0.331%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.83%E -0.509%K -0.705%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 21:55
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.11%EV -1.98%E -0.420%K -0.532%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.90%EV -7.01%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.14%EV -9.50%E -5.46%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -2.61%E -0.555%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.469%E -0.129%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 21:54
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.43%EV -10.54%E -6.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -2.61%E -0.555%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -0.469%E -0.129%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:35
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -11.58%E -6.81%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -2.61%E -0.555%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -3.20%E -0.900%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.33%EV -11.58%E -6.81%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -2.61%E -0.555%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -3.20%E -0.900%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 21:55
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.13%EV -5.86%E -3.24%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 21:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 21:50
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.90%E -3.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.83%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 21:54
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -12.62%E -7.51%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-19 21:54
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.29%EV -13.66%E -8.23%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-19 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.29%EV -13.66%E -8.23%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -4.68%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-19 21:54
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.96%EV -2.74%E -1.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -6.74%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 10:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 21:44
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 21:53
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 21:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -6.75%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-19 21:54
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 21:45
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 21:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -11.06%E -6.47%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.20%EV -7.79%E -1.75%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-19 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.82%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 12:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.82%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 21:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.82%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 21:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.82%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 21:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.82%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.82%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 21:54
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -10.27%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -15.47%E -4.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-19 21:54
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.90%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -10.54%E -6.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -10.90%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.25%EV -10.56%E -3.22%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-19 21:46
Parions Sport (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.57%EV -13.14%E -7.87%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -10.90%E -2.53%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-19 21:44
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -11.93%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 21:49
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.44%EV -13.14%E -7.87%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.61%EV -11.93%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-19 21:50
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -4.82%E -2.64%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -12.97%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 21:54
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -5.86%E -3.24%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -12.97%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 21:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -12.97%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 21:49
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -8.46%E -4.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -12.97%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-19 21:45
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.97%E -3.09%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 17:29
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.43%EV -15.74%E -9.72%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -15.04%E -3.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.24%EV -19.56%E -6.63%K -10.03%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-19 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.58%E -6.81%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -17.11%E -4.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-19 21:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.18%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.27%EV -17.11%E -4.28%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.54%EV -21.47%E -7.45%K -11.42%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-19 21:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.09%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%0.2%2026-03-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-03-19 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-19 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-03-19 21:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%1.6%2026-03-19 21:55
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-03-19 21:40