StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio v Sao Paulo

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Grêmio 2–1 Sao Paulo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio (Heim)

Prognose 40.50%2.47faire Quote
EV -2.38%
Vorteil -0.989%
Kelly -1.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.41

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.62%40.49%40.49%42.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.312.302.4147.62%43.37%43.48%41.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sao Paulo (Auswärts)

Prognose 28.66%3.49faire Quote
EV +2.33%
Vorteil +0.653%
Kelly +0.907%
Wachstum +0.021%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.10%28.67%28.63%30.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.953.213.203.5733.90%31.20%31.25%28.01%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 30.83%3.24faire Quote
EV -1.34%
Vorteil -0.418%
Kelly -0.608%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.73%30.85%30.88%31.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.803.023.023.2035.71%33.09%33.11%31.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Grêmio (Heim): 40.50%; Sao Paulo (Auswärts): 28.66%; Unentschieden: 30.83%. Für Sao Paulo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.49. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.57 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.33%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.17%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV +2.33%E +0.653%K +0.907%G +0.021%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.72%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.25%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.76%EV -0.250%E -0.072%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -6.89%E -2.28%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 18:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.25%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.76%EV -0.250%E -0.072%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -6.89%E -2.28%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 18:44
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.25%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.76%EV -0.250%E -0.072%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -6.89%E -2.28%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 18:44
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.49%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -1.11%E -0.322%K -0.453%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.93%EV -8.12%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 18:39
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.63%EV -4.41%E -1.87%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.04%EV -1.97%E -0.576%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.33%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 18:35
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:49
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.54%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:44
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.25%EV -2.38%E -0.989%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.79%EV -2.88%E -0.914%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -7.25%E -3.16%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:35
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.98%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:44
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -4.81%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:43
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.40%EV -6.44%E -2.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -8.12%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:49
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:54
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -14.94%E -7.11%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -6.84%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.00%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.00%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.00%EV -1.34%E -0.418%K -0.608%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -3.80%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:48
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -3.80%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:48
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.60%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -8.12%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -3.60%E -1.51%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -8.12%E -2.73%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.20%E -3.89%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.20%E -3.89%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.83%EV -12.75%E -4.50%K -6.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 18:44
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -2.79%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.89%E -4.95%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:34
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.63%E -2.41%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.63%E -2.41%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:55
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.63%E -2.41%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.63%E -2.41%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.63%E -2.41%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:54
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.63%E -2.41%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 18:39
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:14
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.84%E -2.97%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.59%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 18:35
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.67%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:44
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -7.65%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:04
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.65%E -3.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.50%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -15.44%E -5.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -15.44%E -5.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 18:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -15.44%E -5.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.05%E -3.07%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 18:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎2.47I 40.49%NM 40.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.16%3.23I 30.96%NM 31.13%-0.5%2026-08-08 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-08 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-08 18:55
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%0.8%2026-08-08 18:55
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.89%1.2%2026-08-08 18:55