Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Grêmio (Local): 23.55%; Palmeiras (Visitante): 49.60%; Empate: 26.85%. Para Grêmio (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.25. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.44%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.44%E +0.560%K +0.727%G +0.018% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.39%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV +0.689%E +0.184%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +2.44%E +0.560%K +0.727%G +0.018% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.39%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV +0.689%E +0.184%K +0.251%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.31%EV +1.97%E +0.454%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.85%EV -5.76%E -3.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.31%EV +1.97%E +0.454%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.85%EV -5.76%E -3.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.31%EV +1.97%E +0.454%K +0.590%G +0.012% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.85%EV -5.76%E -3.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV +0.788%E +0.184%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.02%EV -4.27%E -2.21%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.49%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.01%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.42%EV -2.53%E -0.698%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV +0.082%E +0.019%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.06%EV -5.76%E -3.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.10%E -0.261%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -7.25%E -3.87%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 13:23 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.10%E -0.261%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -10.72%E -5.95%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.10%E -0.261%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -10.72%E -5.95%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.10%E -0.261%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -10.72%E -5.95%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.10%E -0.261%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -10.72%E -5.95%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.10%E -0.261%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -10.72%E -5.95%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.10%E -0.261%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -10.72%E -5.95%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -1.10%E -0.261%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -12.21%E -6.90%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 03:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.45%E -0.842%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -7.25%E -3.87%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.34%E -0.927%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-17 03:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.03%EV -3.69%E -0.901%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.37%EV -7.25%E -3.87%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.61%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.46%EV -4.39%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.85%EV -3.28%E -1.68%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.69%EV -7.63%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 06:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -5.26%E -2.76%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 12:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.26%E -2.76%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 13:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.72%EV -7.25%E -3.87%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.03%EV -7.63%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 13:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -11.71%E -6.58%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -12.21%E -6.90%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -12.21%E -6.90%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -5.81%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -12.21%E -6.90%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.26%E -2.76%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 04:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.36%EV -4.77%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -12.70%E -7.22%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -6.98%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -12.70%E -7.22%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.18%EV -4.77%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 12:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.26%E -2.76%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 13:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.26%E -2.76%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 13:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.76%E -3.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 04:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -4.77%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -4.77%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.24%E -4.45%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.24%E -4.45%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.24%E -4.45%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 12:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.16%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -8.24%E -4.45%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 12:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -9.34%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.06%EV -4.77%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.52%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 04:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -10.52%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.48%EV -12.70%E -7.22%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.52%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -10.72%E -5.95%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.08%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-20 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.76%E -3.03%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.71%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.69%E -3.12%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.23%E -5.04%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 03:28 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -12.87%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -8.73%E -4.75%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -14.05%E -3.85%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -11.71%E -6.58%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -15.23%E -4.23%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -9.73%E -5.34%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 13:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.44% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |