La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Grêmio v Flamengo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Grêmio (Casa)
Previsione 23.44%4.27quota equa
EV +2.18%
Vantaggio +0.501%
Kelly +0.650%
Crescita +0.014%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.94%23.43%23.47%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.953.954.3627.78%25.29%25.32%22.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Flamengo (Trasferta)
Previsione 48.55%2.06quota equa
EV -1.93%
Vantaggio -0.955%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.33%48.55%48.55%50.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.921.922.0255.87%52.16%51.95%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.01%3.57quota equa
EV -1.39%
Vantaggio -0.396%
Kelly -0.553%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.81%28.02%27.98%29.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.313.313.5233.33%30.18%30.21%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV +2.18%E +0.501%K +0.650%G +0.014% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.23%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.39%E -0.396%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -1.57%E -0.373%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -1.57%E -0.373%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Pinnacle | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -2.50%E -0.602%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.24%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -3.44%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.36%EV -2.23%E -0.640%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -3.44%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.36%EV -2.23%E -0.640%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Coolbet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.31%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 22:13 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:23 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -11.15%E -6.09%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 22:18 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:40 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| GTbets | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.20%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 11:48 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.77%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.77%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.15%E -6.09%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 22:02 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -10.18%E -5.50%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.96%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -12.11%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.52%EV -13.10%E -7.32%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-10 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.63%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -11.64%E -6.39%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |