مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grêmio v Flamengo

البداية: 2026-05-10 22:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Grêmio 0–1 Flamengo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grêmio (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.44%4.27السعر العادل
EV +2.18%
الأفضلية +0.501%
Kelly +0.650%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.94%23.43%23.47%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.953.954.3627.78%25.29%25.32%22.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flamengo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.55%2.06السعر العادل
EV -1.93%
الأفضلية -0.955%
Kelly -1.89%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.33%48.55%48.55%50.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.921.922.0255.87%52.16%51.95%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.01%3.57السعر العادل
EV -1.39%
الأفضلية -0.396%
Kelly -0.553%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.81%28.02%27.98%29.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.313.313.5233.33%30.18%30.21%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV +2.18%E +0.501%K +0.650%G +0.014%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.23%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.39%E -0.396%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 22:19
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -1.57%E -0.373%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 22:14
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -1.57%E -0.373%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 22:04
Pinnacle4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -2.50%E -0.602%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.24%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 22:14
BetOnline.ag4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -3.44%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.36%EV -2.23%E -0.640%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:19
LowVig.ag4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -3.44%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.36%EV -2.23%E -0.640%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 17:19
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 22:19
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 22:19
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.31%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:19
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 21:49
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 22:13
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 17:19
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 22:04
Codere (IT)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 21:49
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 21:49
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:23
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:25
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 22:24
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 22:14
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 22:25
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 22:19
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 22:19
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 22:19
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 21:49
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -11.15%E -6.09%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 22:18
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 22:19
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:40
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:39
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:39
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:40
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:44
Marathon Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 22:24
GTbets3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.20%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 11:48
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 22:19
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 22:24
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:44
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:44
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:44
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 21:44
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.77%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 21:39
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.77%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 21:39
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 21:49
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 22:19
LiveScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 22:19
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 22:14
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.15%E -6.09%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 22:02
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -10.18%E -5.50%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.96%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 22:14
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -12.11%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 22:04
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 22:04
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 22:04
Unibet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.52%EV -13.10%E -7.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-10 22:05
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.63%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -11.64%E -6.39%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 21:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-10 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-10 22:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-10 22:09
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-05-10 22:09
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-10 22:04
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-05-10 22:09