L’École des cotesFrançais
Grêmio v Flamengo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio (Local)
Prévision 23.44%4.27cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.501%
Kelly +0.650%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 4.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.94%23.43%23.47%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.953.954.3627.78%25.29%25.32%22.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Flamengo (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.55%2.06cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.955%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.33%48.55%48.55%50.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.921.922.0255.87%52.16%51.95%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.01%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.396%
Kelly -0.553%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.81%28.02%27.98%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.313.5233.33%30.18%30.21%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV +2.18%E +0.501%K +0.650%G +0.014% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.23%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.39%E -0.396%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -1.57%E -0.373%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -1.57%E -0.373%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Pinnacle | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -2.50%E -0.602%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.24%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -3.44%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.36%EV -2.23%E -0.640%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -3.44%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.36%EV -2.23%E -0.640%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Coolbet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.31%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 22:13 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:23 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -11.15%E -6.09%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 22:18 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:40 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| GTbets | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.20%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 11:48 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.77%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.77%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.15%E -6.09%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 22:02 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -10.18%E -5.50%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.96%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -12.11%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.52%EV -13.10%E -7.32%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-10 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.63%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -11.64%E -6.39%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |