La escuela de los momiosGrêmio v Flamengo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio (Local)
Predicción 23.44%4.27momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.501%
Kelly +0.650%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.94%23.43%23.47%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.953.954.3627.78%25.29%25.32%22.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Flamengo (Visitante)
Predicción 48.55%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.955%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.33%48.55%48.55%50.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.921.922.0255.87%52.16%51.95%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.01%3.57momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.396%
Kelly -0.553%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.81%28.02%27.98%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.313.5233.33%30.18%30.21%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.23%EV +2.18%E +0.501%K +0.650%G +0.014% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.23%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -1.39%E -0.396%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -1.57%E -0.373%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -1.57%E -0.373%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Pinnacle | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.22%EV -2.50%E -0.602%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.54%EV -3.39%E -1.70%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.24%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -3.44%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.36%EV -2.23%E -0.640%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.17%EV -3.44%E -0.835%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.47%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.36%EV -2.23%E -0.640%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12%EV -1.93%E -0.955%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Coolbet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.31%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.91%E -0.954%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 22:13 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 17:19 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:23 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.97%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.25%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -11.15%E -6.09%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 22:18 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:40 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -3.00%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.00%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| GTbets | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -7.66%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.20%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 11:48 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.60%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.77%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -9.77%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-10 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.33%EV -7.75%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -11.15%E -6.09%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 22:02 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -10.94%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -10.18%E -5.50%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -15.96%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -12.11%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.16%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.78%E -3.53%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -3.35%E -0.972%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.47%EV -13.28%E -3.59%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.52%EV -13.10%E -7.32%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-10 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -15.63%E -4.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -11.64%E -6.39%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.91% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 22:04 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 22:09 |