默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grêmio v Cruzeiro

2026-10-18 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grêmio (主队)

预测 30.46%3.28公平赔率
EV -2.52%
优势 -0.789%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
28.53%30.54%30.31%31.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.17%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cruzeiro (客队)

预测 42.81%2.34公平赔率
EV -3.26%
优势 -1.44%
Kelly -2.58%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
41.23%42.71%42.88%45.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.882.152.172.2653.19%46.51%46.08%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.73%3.74公平赔率
EV -1.09%
优势 -0.295%
Kelly -0.404%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.67%26.75%26.81%27.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.433.453.7030.77%29.12%28.99%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Grêmio (主队):30.46%;Cruzeiro (客队):42.81%;平局:26.73%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.74。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.70,期望值为-1.09%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -2.52%E -0.789%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -2.52%E -0.789%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.46%EV -3.26%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.58%EV -3.50%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 19:03
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -1.09%E -0.295%K -0.404%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 13:59
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 14:01
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.35%EV -10.96%E -5.27%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.08%EV -10.98%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 19:04
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 13:58
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 19:08
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.11%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.53%EV -19.52%E -10.38%K -22.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.25%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.27%E -4.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.27%E -4.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.11%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.29%EV -13.19%E -4.63%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.16%EV -14.39%E -7.19%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.37%EV -16.23%E -5.90%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -12.25%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-10 13:57
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 30.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.25%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.62%16.0%2026-10-10 16:30
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.50%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%16.5%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 14:00