Langue:Français
Grêmio v Cruzeiro
Résultat du match
Grêmio (Local)
Prévision 30.46%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.789%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.53%30.54%30.31%31.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.17%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cruzeiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.81%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%42.71%42.88%45.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.152.172.2653.19%46.51%46.08%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.73%3.74cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.295%
Kelly -0.404%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.67%26.75%26.81%27.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.433.453.7030.77%29.12%28.99%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Grêmio (Local) : 30.46% ; Cruzeiro (Visiteur) : 42.81% ; Match nul : 26.73%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.74. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.70, pour une espérance de -1.09% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -2.52%E -0.789%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -2.52%E -0.789%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.46%EV -3.26%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.58%EV -3.50%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 19:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -1.09%E -0.295%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.35%EV -10.96%E -5.27%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.08%EV -10.98%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 19:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 19:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.11%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.53%EV -19.52%E -10.38%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.25%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.27%E -4.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.27%E -4.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.11%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.29%EV -13.19%E -4.63%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.16%EV -14.39%E -7.19%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.37%EV -16.23%E -5.90%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -12.25%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-10 13:57 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.25% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.62% | 16.0% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.50% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69% | 16.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |