Idioma:Español
Grêmio v Cruzeiro
Resultado del partido
Grêmio (Local)
Predicción 30.46%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.789%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.53%30.54%30.31%31.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.17%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cruzeiro (Visitante)
Predicción 42.81%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.23%42.71%42.88%45.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.152.172.2653.19%46.51%46.08%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.295%
Kelly -0.404%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.67%26.75%26.81%27.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.433.453.7030.77%29.12%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Grêmio (Local): 30.46%; Cruzeiro (Visitante): 42.81%; Empate: 26.73%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.74. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.70, con un valor esperado de -1.09%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -2.52%E -0.789%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -2.52%E -0.789%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.17%EV -4.54%E -2.04%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.46%EV -3.26%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.58%EV -3.50%E -0.969%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-10 19:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.94%EV -7.11%E -3.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.11%E -2.68%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -1.09%E -0.295%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.77%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%EV -7.09%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.35%EV -10.96%E -5.27%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.08%EV -10.98%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 19:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 13:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.97%E -3.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.76%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 19:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.39%E -3.92%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.25%E -4.36%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.11%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -10.45%E -3.12%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -8.62%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.53%EV -19.52%E -10.38%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.25%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.78%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.27%E -4.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.82%E -2.65%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -12.27%E -4.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.11%E -4.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -6.44%E -1.84%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.29%EV -13.19%E -4.63%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.16%EV -14.39%E -7.19%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.37%EV -16.23%E -5.90%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -12.25%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -13.12%E -4.04%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-10 13:57 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.25% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.62% | 16.0% | 2026-10-10 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.50% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69% | 16.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |