A Escola das Odds

Fluminense v Atletico Paranaense

Início: 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fluminense (Local)

Previsão 51.74%1.93odd justa
EV -3.24%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -3.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.50%51.82%51.81%54.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.771.781.8762.50%56.47%56.18%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)

Previsão 20.48%4.88odd justa
EV +4.25%
Vantagem +0.834%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.044%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.04%20.44%20.45%21.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.624.655.0925.00%21.64%21.51%19.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.78%3.60odd justa
EV -0.004%
Vantagem -0.001%
Kelly -0.002%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.29%27.74%27.74%28.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.363.403.6033.90%29.73%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 19.04%EV +4.25%E +0.834%K +1.04%G +0.044%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 18:55
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.25%EV +2.81%E +0.560%K +0.700%G +0.020%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.25%EV -5.00%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 18:50
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.04%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +2.40%E +0.481%K +0.601%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.04%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +2.40%E +0.481%K +0.601%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:20
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:20
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:20
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.25%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.80%EV -1.08%E -0.223%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.96%EV -5.00%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 18:30
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 51.93%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:55
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -11.00%E -6.40%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -8.42%E -4.75%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -11.52%E -6.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 18:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.45%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 18:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.54%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:50
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -13.07%E -7.78%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 18:55
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -14.11%E -8.50%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -14.11%E -8.50%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 18:55
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:39
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:55
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.28%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:25
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:40
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 18:13
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:13
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:15
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:45
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 52.44%EV -11.52%E -6.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 18:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -11.32%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:19
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -11.32%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 18:55
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -11.93%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -11.00%E -6.40%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -11.93%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -12.96%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 18:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 18:35
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 51.99%EV -17.21%E -10.76%K -28.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.81%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -18.06%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-15 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -18.08%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.65%EV -13.59%E -8.14%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%EV -18.08%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.20%EV -16.67%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-15 18:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 18:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-03-15 18:55