مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fluminense v Atletico Paranaense

البداية: 2026-03-15 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fluminense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.74%1.93السعر العادل
EV -3.24%
الأفضلية -1.73%
Kelly -3.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.50%51.82%51.81%54.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.771.781.8762.50%56.47%56.18%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atletico Paranaense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.48%4.88السعر العادل
EV +4.25%
الأفضلية +0.834%
Kelly +1.04%
النمو +0.044%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.04%20.44%20.45%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.624.655.0925.00%21.64%21.51%19.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.78%3.60السعر العادل
EV -0.004%
الأفضلية -0.001%
Kelly -0.002%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.29%27.74%27.74%28.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.363.403.6033.90%29.73%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 19.04%EV +4.25%E +0.834%K +1.04%G +0.044%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 18:55
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.25%EV +2.81%E +0.560%K +0.700%G +0.020%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.25%EV -5.00%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 18:50
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.04%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +2.40%E +0.481%K +0.601%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.04%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +2.40%E +0.481%K +0.601%G +0.014%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:20
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:20
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 18:20
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.25%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.80%EV -1.08%E -0.223%K -0.282%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.96%EV -5.00%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 18:30
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 51.93%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:55
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -11.00%E -6.40%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -8.42%E -4.75%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -11.52%E -6.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 18:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 18:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.45%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 18:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:55
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.54%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:34
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:50
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -13.07%E -7.78%K -19.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 18:55
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -14.11%E -8.50%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -14.11%E -8.50%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-15 18:55
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:39
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 18:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 18:55
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.28%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 18:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 18:25
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:40
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 18:13
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 18:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:13
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:15
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 18:45
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 18:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 52.44%EV -11.52%E -6.74%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 18:40
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -11.32%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:19
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -11.32%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 18:55
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -11.93%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -11.00%E -6.40%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -11.93%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -12.96%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 18:34
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 18:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-15 18:35
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 51.99%EV -17.21%E -10.76%K -28.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.81%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -18.06%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-15 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -18.08%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.65%EV -13.59%E -8.14%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%EV -18.08%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.20%EV -16.67%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-15 18:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-03-15 18:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-03-15 18:55