La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fluminense v Atletico Paranaense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fluminense (Local)
Predicción 51.74%1.93momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -3.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.50%51.82%51.81%54.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.771.781.8762.50%56.47%56.18%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)
Predicción 20.48%4.88momio equitativo
EV +4.25%
Ventaja +0.834%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.04%20.44%20.45%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.624.655.0925.00%21.64%21.51%19.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.78%3.60momio equitativo
EV -0.004%
Ventaja -0.001%
Kelly -0.002%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.29%27.74%27.74%28.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.363.403.6033.90%29.73%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.04%EV +4.25%E +0.834%K +1.04%G +0.044% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.01%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.25%EV +2.81%E +0.560%K +0.700%G +0.020% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.25%EV -5.00%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 18:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.04%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +2.40%E +0.481%K +0.601%G +0.014% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.04%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV +2.40%E +0.481%K +0.601%G +0.014% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -0.004%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.19%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.24%EV +0.355%E +0.072%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.38%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.58%EV -0.260%E -0.053%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.25%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.80%EV -1.08%E -0.223%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.96%EV -5.00%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 18:30 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.93%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -11.00%E -6.40%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.39%E -0.392%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 18:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -8.42%E -4.75%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -11.52%E -6.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -12.04%E -7.08%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -1.69%E -0.353%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.45%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.25%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.54%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:34 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -2.72%E -0.572%K -0.725%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -13.07%E -7.78%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -14.11%E -8.50%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -14.11%E -8.50%K -21.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -3.74%E -0.796%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV -4.77%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.79%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.28%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -4.79%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 18:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -7.84%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 18:13 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.22%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -1.99%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 18:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 18:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.87%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 18:40 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.44%EV -11.52%E -6.74%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -9.89%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-15 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -11.32%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 18:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -11.32%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -11.93%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 18:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.83%EV -11.00%E -6.40%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -11.93%E -2.78%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-15 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -12.96%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.71%EV -10.56%E -3.28%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -7.90%E -4.44%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 18:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -10.48%E -6.06%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-15 18:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 51.99%EV -17.21%E -10.76%K -28.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.81%EV -13.98%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -18.06%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.54%EV -9.97%E -5.73%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -18.08%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.65%EV -13.59%E -8.14%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.15%EV -18.08%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.20%EV -16.67%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.54% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.26% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.26% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 1.8% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |