Школа коэффициентов

Flamengo v Vasco da Gama

Начало: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Итог: Flamengo 2–2 Vasco da Gama

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Flamengo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 65.20%1.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.20%
Преимущество -1.46%
Kelly -4.39%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
63.31%65.18%65.19%67.12%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.431.441.5073.53%69.75%69.44%66.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Vasco da Gama (Гости)

Прогноз 12.96%7.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.64%
Преимущество +0.455%
Kelly +0.520%
Рост +0.019%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.49%13.01%12.84%14.89%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
5.907.087.008.0016.95%14.12%14.29%12.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 21.84%4.58справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.474%
Преимущество +0.103%
Kelly +0.132%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.73%21.81%21.96%23.07%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.224.204.6026.67%23.70%23.81%21.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.520%G +0.019%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:35
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.520%G +0.019%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:30
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.67%E -7.79%K -28.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.520%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:30
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.01%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.91I 12.64%NM 12.18%EV +2.48%E +0.313%K +0.358%G +0.009%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.80%EV -3.46%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV +0.403%E +0.052%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -0.618%E -0.136%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:30
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV +0.403%E +0.052%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -0.618%E -0.136%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:30
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV +0.403%E +0.052%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -0.618%E -0.136%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:30
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.87%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.80%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:30
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.32%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.89%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:54
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:51
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -11.32%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:30
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV -4.13%E -0.558%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -9.35%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:40
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV -4.13%E -0.558%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -9.35%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:36
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -5.43%E -0.743%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:35
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 65.04%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -6.07%E -0.838%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -6.07%E -0.838%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:45
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.85%E -1.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.16I 13.97%NM 13.58%EV -7.24%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%EV +0.474%E +0.103%K +0.132%G +0.001%2.8%2026-05-03 18:51
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.26%EV -8.28%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.99%EV -6.73%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:34
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -2.20%E -1.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -4.99%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 18:35
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -2.20%E -1.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -4.99%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 18:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.01%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:35
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -3.89%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:40
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:35
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:35
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:30
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:35
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:35
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:36
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:35
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:36
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 18:35
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:36
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:35
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 18:40
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.82%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 18:30
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.06%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:36
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:35
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:35
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:36
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.73%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.53%EV -9.35%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.73%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.53%EV -9.35%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.32%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 18:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -8.06%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -19.03%E -3.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -3.89%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -23.56%E -3.99%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 18:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.77%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-05-03 18:56
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%3.0%2026-05-03 18:51