La scuola delle quote

Flamengo v Vasco da Gama

Inizio: 2026-05-03 19:00 UTC

Finale: Flamengo 2–2 Vasco da Gama

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flamengo (Casa)

Previsione 65.20%1.53quota equa
EV -2.20%
Vantaggio -1.46%
Kelly -4.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.31%65.18%65.19%67.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.431.441.5073.53%69.75%69.44%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vasco da Gama (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.96%7.72quota equa
EV +3.64%
Vantaggio +0.455%
Kelly +0.520%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.49%13.01%12.84%14.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.907.087.008.0016.95%14.12%14.29%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.84%4.58quota equa
EV +0.474%
Vantaggio +0.103%
Kelly +0.132%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.73%21.81%21.96%23.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.224.204.6026.67%23.70%23.81%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.67%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.520%G +0.019%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 18:35
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.520%G +0.019%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 18:30
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -10.67%E -7.79%K -28.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.520%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:30
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.01%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.91I 12.64%NM 12.18%EV +2.48%E +0.313%K +0.358%G +0.009%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.80%EV -3.46%E -0.782%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-03 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV +0.403%E +0.052%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -0.618%E -0.136%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:30
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV +0.403%E +0.052%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -0.618%E -0.136%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:30
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 66.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.31%EV +0.403%E +0.052%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.97%EV -0.618%E -0.136%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 18:30
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.87%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.80%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 18:30
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.49%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:55
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.32%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 18:55
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 65.31%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 18:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.89%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 18:54
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:51
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.73%EV -11.32%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -2.84%E -0.378%K -0.436%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:30
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV -4.13%E -0.558%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -9.35%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:40
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.62%EV -4.13%E -0.558%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -9.35%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:36
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -5.43%E -0.743%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 18:35
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 65.04%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -6.07%E -0.838%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 18:55
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.77%EV -6.07%E -0.838%K -0.972%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 18:45
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.85%E -1.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.16I 13.97%NM 13.58%EV -7.24%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%EV +0.474%E +0.103%K +0.132%G +0.001%2.8%2026-05-03 18:51
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.26%EV -8.28%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.99%EV -6.73%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:34
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -2.20%E -1.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -4.99%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 18:35
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -2.20%E -1.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -4.99%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 18:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.01%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:35
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -3.89%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:40
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 18:35
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.26%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 18:35
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:30
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:35
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:35
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:36
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:35
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 18:36
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 18:35
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:36
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 18:35
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 18:40
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -9.31%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -14.82%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 18:30
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.06%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 18:36
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 18:35
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:35
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:36
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.21%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -12.55%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 18:35
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.73%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.53%EV -9.35%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.73%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.53%EV -9.35%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.32%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.79%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 18:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.31%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -8.06%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -19.03%E -3.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -3.89%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -23.56%E -3.99%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-05-03 18:55
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.77%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-05-03 18:56
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%3.0%2026-05-03 18:51