La scuola delle quote

Flamengo v Palmeiras

Inizio: 2026-05-24 00:00 UTC

Finale: Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flamengo (Casa)

Previsione 53.10%1.88quota equa
EV -1.76%
Vantaggio -0.951%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.41%53.18%53.04%55.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.751.751.8560.24%57.18%57.14%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.44%5.15quota equa
EV +6.31%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescita +0.089%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.72%19.33%19.52%21.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.814.805.4723.81%20.80%20.83%18.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.46%3.64quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.316%
Kelly -0.437%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.63%27.49%27.44%29.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.85%EV +6.31%E +1.15%K +1.41%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 23:39
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.81%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.01%E +0.567%K +0.699%G +0.021%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.14%E -0.316%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 23:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.14%E -0.316%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 23:29
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -9.19%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -11.32%E -6.78%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:40
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:39
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:26
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 23:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:29
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -6.08%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 23:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.28%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -7.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -7.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 23:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 23:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 23:19
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 23:20
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.61%EV -1.76%E -0.951%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.14%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.25%EV -7.18%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 14:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.65%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:29
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.65%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 23:49
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -10.26%E -6.07%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 23:38
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:19
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 23:19
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.75%EV -10.26%E -6.07%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 23:37
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 23:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -15.85%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.37%E -4.37%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-23 23:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 23:39
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 23:49
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-05-23 23:20