La escuela de los momios

Flamengo v Palmeiras

Inicio: 2026-05-24 00:00 UTC

Final: Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Flamengo (Local)

Predicción 53.10%1.88momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.951%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.41%53.18%53.04%55.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.751.751.8560.24%57.18%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Palmeiras (Visitante)

Predicción 19.44%5.15momio equitativo
EV +6.31%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.089%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.72%19.33%19.52%21.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.814.805.4723.81%20.80%20.83%18.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.46%3.64momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.437%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.63%27.49%27.44%29.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.85%EV +6.31%E +1.15%K +1.41%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 23:39
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.81%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.01%E +0.567%K +0.699%G +0.021%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.14%E -0.316%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 23:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.14%E -0.316%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 23:29
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -9.19%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -11.32%E -6.78%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:40
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:39
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:26
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 23:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:29
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -6.08%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 23:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.28%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -7.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -7.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 23:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 23:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 23:19
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 23:20
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.61%EV -1.76%E -0.951%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.14%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.25%EV -7.18%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 14:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.65%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:29
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.65%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 23:49
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -10.26%E -6.07%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 23:38
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:19
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 23:19
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.75%EV -10.26%E -6.07%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 23:37
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 23:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -15.85%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.37%E -4.37%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-23 23:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 23:39
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 23:49
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-05-23 23:20