مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flamengo v Palmeiras

البداية: 2026-05-24 00:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flamengo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.10%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.76%
الأفضلية -0.951%
Kelly -2.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.41%53.18%53.04%55.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.751.751.8560.24%57.18%57.14%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Palmeiras (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.44%5.15السعر العادل
EV +6.31%
الأفضلية +1.15%
Kelly +1.41%
النمو +0.089%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.72%19.33%19.52%21.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.814.805.4723.81%20.80%20.83%18.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.46%3.64السعر العادل
EV -1.14%
الأفضلية -0.316%
Kelly -0.437%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.63%27.49%27.44%29.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.85%EV +6.31%E +1.15%K +1.41%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 23:39
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.81%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.01%E +0.567%K +0.699%G +0.021%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.14%E -0.316%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 23:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.14%E -0.316%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 23:29
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -9.19%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -11.32%E -6.78%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:40
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:39
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:26
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 23:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:29
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -6.08%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 23:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.28%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -7.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -7.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 23:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 23:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 23:19
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 23:20
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.61%EV -1.76%E -0.951%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.14%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.25%EV -7.18%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 14:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.65%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:29
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.65%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 23:49
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -10.26%E -6.07%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 23:38
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:19
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 23:19
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.75%EV -10.26%E -6.07%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 23:37
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 23:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -15.85%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.37%E -4.37%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-23 23:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 23:39
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 23:49
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-05-23 23:20