L’École des cotes

Flamengo v Palmeiras

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 00:00 UTC

Score final : Flamengo 0–3 Palmeiras

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Flamengo (Local)

Prévision 53.10%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.951%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.41%53.18%53.04%55.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.751.751.8560.24%57.18%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palmeiras (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.44%5.15cote équitable
EV +6.31%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 5.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.72%19.33%19.52%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.814.805.4723.81%20.80%20.83%18.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.46%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.437%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.63%27.49%27.44%29.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.46%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.25%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.85%EV +6.31%E +1.15%K +1.41%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 23:39
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.81%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV +3.01%E +0.567%K +0.699%G +0.021%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.14%E -0.316%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 23:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.69%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.00%EV -1.14%E -0.316%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 23:29
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -9.19%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.18%EV -11.32%E -6.78%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +1.06%E +0.204%K +0.253%G +0.003%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:40
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.95%E -2.76%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.47%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:39
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV +0.091%E +0.018%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.77%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:29
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.34%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:26
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 23:20
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.27%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:29
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -2.82%E -0.565%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -3.35%E -1.84%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV -3.02%E -0.605%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -6.08%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 23:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.14%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -4.77%E -0.973%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 23:29
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 23:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.28%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:49
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.01%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:29
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -7.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.09%EV -11.85%E -7.14%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 23:29
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 23:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 23:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.95%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 23:19
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -7.68%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 23:20
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.61%EV -1.76%E -0.951%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.14%EV -7.88%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.25%EV -7.18%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 14:40
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.65%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:29
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV -8.65%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 23:20
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 23:49
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.21%EV -10.26%E -6.07%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-23 23:38
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.73%E -5.72%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -10.60%E -2.30%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 23:20
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 23:19
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:19
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.26%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 23:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 23:19
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 52.75%EV -10.26%E -6.07%K -14.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -12.54%E -2.79%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-23 23:37
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-23 23:19
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -15.85%E -3.66%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.17%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -18.37%E -4.37%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-23 23:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-23 23:20
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 23:39
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.11%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-23 23:49
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-05-23 23:20