Language:English
Cruzeiro v Atletico Paranaense
Head to Head
Cruzeiro (Local)
Prediction 50.17%1.99fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.17%50.07%51.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.851.9257.47%54.52%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Paranaense (Visit)
Prediction 21.81%4.59fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -0.534%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.11%21.86%21.88%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.104.5026.67%24.24%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.03%3.57fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%27.97%28.04%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.253.4433.33%30.61%30.77%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cruzeiro (Local): 50.17%; Atletico Paranaense (Visit): 21.81%; Draw: 28.03%. For Atletico Paranaense (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.50, with an expected value of -1.87%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.94%EV -3.68%E -1.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV -5.79%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.87%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-25 19:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -4.68%E -2.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-25 13:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-25 13:08 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.69%E -3.03%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.59%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-25 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -1.87%E -0.415%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 13:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.17%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:36 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.91%EV -6.19%E -3.31%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.11%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-25 19:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -6.69%E -3.60%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.51%E -2.28%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-25 13:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.19%E -3.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.77%E -3.19%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -8.20%E -4.48%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.05%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.71%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 13:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.57%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 12:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.70%E -5.39%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.91%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 13:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.54%EV -10.70%E -6.01%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -16.04%E -4.17%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-25 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.09%EV -11.71%E -6.65%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -18.22%E -4.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-25 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.93%EV -12.21%E -6.98%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -17.13%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -15.92%E -5.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-25 13:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.81%EV -12.71%E -7.31%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.22%EV -14.95%E -3.83%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -13.12%E -4.23%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-25 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.62%EV -12.71%E -7.31%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.25%EV -15.39%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.12%EV -13.96%E -4.55%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-25 13:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 20:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 48.69% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.76% | 16.7% | 2026-08-25 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 180.4% | 2026-08-25 13:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64% | 180.4% | 2026-08-25 13:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-08-25 12:54 |