StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cruzeiro v Atletico Paranaense

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Cruzeiro 3–1 Atletico Paranaense

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cruzeiro (Hemma)

Prognos 55.07%1.82rättvist odds
EV -0.881%
Fördel -0.489%
Kelly -1.10%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.34%54.87%55.18%56.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.711.711.8061.73%58.48%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Paranaense (Borta)

Prognos 19.99%5.00rättvist odds
EV +1.97%
Fördel +0.386%
Kelly +0.481%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.58%20.06%19.94%21.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.594.605.1023.81%21.81%21.74%19.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.94%4.01rättvist odds
EV -0.490%
Fördel -0.123%
Kelly -0.164%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.99

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.17%25.07%24.89%26.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.353.643.603.9929.85%27.47%27.78%25.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cruzeiro (Hemma): 55.07%; Atletico Paranaense (Borta): 19.99%; Oavgjort: 24.94%. För Atletico Paranaense (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.00. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.97%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.72%EV +1.97%E +0.386%K +0.481%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.42%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.22%EV +0.371%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.36%EV -1.24%E -0.313%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.42%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.22%EV +0.371%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.36%EV -1.24%E -0.313%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 18:10
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.42%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.22%EV +0.371%E +0.074%K +0.092%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.36%EV -1.24%E -0.313%K -0.418%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-06 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -0.029%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 18:35
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.49%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.43%EV -0.629%E -0.127%K -0.158%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -3.98%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.17%EV -1.03%E -0.208%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.03%E -0.839%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 18:13
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:34
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.03%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -0.881%E -0.489%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.49%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -0.881%E -0.489%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.49%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -7.72%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.99%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.13%EV -5.84%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 18:30
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 18:33
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.03%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 18:35
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.93%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.38%EV -6.23%E -1.33%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.70%EV -3.48%E -0.900%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 18:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -7.03%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -7.03%E -1.51%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 18:09
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.77%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.94%EV -7.43%E -1.60%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.30%EV -0.490%E -0.123%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.81%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 18:50
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:50
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.39%E -3.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.03%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -6.94%E -4.11%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -9.03%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -4.23%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:55
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:19
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:20
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -11.46%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.45%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.27%EV -11.03%E -2.48%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 18:34
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 18:14
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -14.03%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.53%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -14.03%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.68%EV -8.59%E -5.17%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -14.03%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -14.03%E -3.26%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -15.02%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -2.53%E -1.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -15.02%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -3.63%E -2.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -15.02%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -15.02%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -5.29%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -15.02%E -3.54%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -15.20%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 18:19
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -4.74%E -2.74%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -16.02%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -9.69%E -5.91%K -15.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.02%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.42%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.59%EV -7.49%E -4.46%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -16.02%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -16.45%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.59%EV -7.49%E -4.46%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -16.02%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -16.45%E -4.91%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-06 18:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55%0.3%2026-09-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-09-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.11%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-09-06 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.11%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-09-06 18:55
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%1.7%2026-09-06 18:55
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-09-06 18:35