Language:English
Coritiba v Vasco da Gama
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coritiba (Local)
Prediction 34.98%2.86fair odd
EV +4.95%
Edge +1.65%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.122%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.36%34.97%34.95%36.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.682.703.0040.82%37.33%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vasco da Gama (Visit)
Prediction 33.58%2.98fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.44%33.58%33.65%35.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.802.9039.22%36.03%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.43%3.18fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.823%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%31.45%31.41%32.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.93%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coritiba (Local): 34.98%; Vasco da Gama (Visit): 33.58%; Draw: 31.43%. For Coritiba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%EV +4.95%E +1.65%K +2.47%G +0.122% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.82%EV -8.99%E -3.32%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.03%EV -0.652%E -0.229%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -6.95%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 23:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -3.45%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.24%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 23:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -7.31%E -2.65%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -4.85%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.16%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-01 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 23:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 23:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.38%EV -6.60%E -2.47%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.92%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.70%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-01 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.14%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.55%E -0.823%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -8.35%E -3.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -8.35%E -3.19%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 23:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -11.68%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -9.75%E -3.78%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-01 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-01 22:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.55%E -5.02%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.30%EV -10.00%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%EV -14.29%E -5.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-01 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.64%EV -14.29%E -5.83%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.25%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-01 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79% | 1.5% | 2026-04-01 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 23:25 |