La scuola delle quote

Coritiba v Vasco da Gama

Inizio: 2026-04-01 23:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Coritiba (Casa)

Previsione 34.98%2.86quota equa
EV +4.95%
Vantaggio +1.65%
Kelly +2.47%
Crescita +0.122%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.36%34.97%34.95%36.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.682.703.0040.82%37.33%37.04%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vasco da Gama (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.58%2.98quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.899%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.44%33.58%33.65%35.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.782.802.9039.22%36.03%35.71%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.43%3.18quota equa
EV -2.55%
Vantaggio -0.823%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.11%31.45%31.41%32.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.93%33.90%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%EV +4.95%E +1.65%K +2.47%G +0.122%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.82%EV -8.99%E -3.32%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-01 23:20
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 34.03%EV -0.652%E -0.229%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -6.95%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:25
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:00
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:00
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:24
BetAnything2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:25
Bovada2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -3.45%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.24%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:24
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 23:20
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:00
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 23:20
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:10
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -7.31%E -2.65%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:20
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -4.85%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.16%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 23:09
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:05
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:00
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:25
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:23
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:19
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:24
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:24
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:15
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 23:09
GTbets2.67I 37.45%NM 35.38%EV -6.60%E -2.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.92%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.70%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:54
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:45
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:20
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:20
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 23:15
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.14%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.55%E -0.823%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 23:19
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 22:45
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -8.35%E -3.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 23:19
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -8.35%E -3.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 23:25
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 23:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 23:19
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -11.68%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-01 23:20
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -9.75%E -3.78%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 19:30
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 23:00
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 22:45
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 22:44
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.55%E -5.02%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.30%EV -10.00%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 23:05
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%EV -14.29%E -5.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 23:04
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.64%EV -14.29%E -5.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.25%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-01 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.3%2026-04-01 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.3%2026-04-01 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.3%2026-04-01 23:15
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.3%2026-04-01 23:15
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-01 23:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-04-01 23:25