Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Coritiba v Vasco da Gama

Początek: 2026-04-01 23:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Coritiba (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 34.98%2.86kurs godziwy
EV +4.95%
Przewaga +1.65%
Kelly +2.47%
Wzrost +0.122%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.36%34.97%34.95%36.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.452.682.703.0040.82%37.33%37.04%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Vasco da Gama (Goście)

Prognoza 33.58%2.98kurs godziwy
EV -2.61%
Przewaga -0.899%
Kelly -1.37%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.44%33.58%33.65%35.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.782.802.9039.22%36.03%35.71%34.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.43%3.18kurs godziwy
EV -2.55%
Przewaga -0.823%
Kelly -1.22%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.11%31.45%31.41%32.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.93%33.90%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Coritiba (Gospodarze): 34.98%; Vasco da Gama (Goście): 33.58%; Remis: 31.43%. Dla wyniku Coritiba (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.86. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.95%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%EV +4.95%E +1.65%K +2.47%G +0.122%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.82%EV -8.99%E -3.32%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-01 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.03%EV -0.652%E -0.229%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.32%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -6.95%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.07%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:00
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:24
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -2.75%E -0.989%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 23:25
Bovada🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -3.45%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.24%EV -4.96%E -1.75%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.09%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.27%EV -2.61%E -0.899%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.64%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 23:20
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:00
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 23:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -3.80%E -1.38%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -7.31%E -2.65%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -4.85%E -1.78%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.16%EV -5.30%E -1.88%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 23:09
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:00
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:23
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:19
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:24
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 23:24
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 23:15
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -5.55%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 23:09
GTbets🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.38%EV -6.60%E -2.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.92%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.70%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:00
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.29%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 22:54
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -5.97%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:45
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.30%E -2.75%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 23:15
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.14%EV -3.62%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -2.55%E -0.823%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 23:19
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -8.00%E -3.04%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 22:45
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -8.35%E -3.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 23:19
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -8.35%E -3.19%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -7.65%E -2.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 23:19
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -9.05%E -3.48%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -11.68%E -4.44%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-01 23:20
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -9.75%E -3.78%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -3.28%E -1.14%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 19:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -10.80%E -4.23%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -9.33%E -3.45%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 22:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -12.55%E -5.02%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.30%EV -10.00%E -3.73%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-01 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%EV -14.29%E -5.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.56%EV -11.00%E -4.15%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.15%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.64%EV -14.29%E -5.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.25%EV -14.36%E -5.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-01 23:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.3%2026-04-01 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.3%2026-04-01 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.3%2026-04-01 23:15
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.63%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.3%2026-04-01 23:15
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.70%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%1.5%2026-04-01 23:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.0%2026-04-01 23:25