The School of OddsCoritiba v Palmeiras
Head to Head
Option 1: Coritiba (Local)
Odds
3.2530.77%Min
3.5328.33%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.7027.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.78%3.879Min
26.71%3.744Max
26.05%3.839Mean
26.03%3.841Median
26.01%3.845IQM
26.06%3.837Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 26.01%
EV -3.77%Edge -1.02%Kelly -1.40%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Palmeiras (Visit)
Odds
1.9551.28%Min
2.0648.52%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.1346.95%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.44%2.250Min
45.11%2.217Max
44.86%2.229Mean
44.83%2.231Median
44.88%2.228IQM
44.88%2.228Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.13 under the IQM model: 44.88%
EV -4.40%Edge -2.06%Kelly -3.89%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.1731.58%Mean
3.1332.00%Median
3.3130.21%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.67%3.488Min
29.43%3.398Max
29.09%3.437Mean
29.14%3.432Median
29.11%3.435IQM
29.06%3.441Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.31 under the IQM model: 29.11%
EV -3.65%Edge -1.10%Kelly -1.58%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Coritiba (Local) ▼ | Palmeiras (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 06:40 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97% NM 23.36%EV +0.127% E +0.033% K +0.045% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 48.09%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.55%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.94%EV -3.77% E -1.02% K -1.40% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 45.06%EV -4.40% E -2.06% K -3.89% G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21% NM 29.00%EV -3.65% E -1.10% K -1.58% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:07 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.75%EV -3.77% E -1.02% K -1.40% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.37%EV -5.74% E -2.73% K -5.22% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.87%EV -3.94% E -1.19% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 13:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.66I 27.32% NM 26.06%EV -4.81% E -1.32% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 44.78%EV -4.40% E -2.06% K -3.89% G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58% NM 29.17%EV -4.82% E -1.47% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-02 21:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.33%EV -5.07% E -1.39% K -1.91% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.77%EV -9.33% E -4.62% K -9.15% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.89%EV -6.85% E -2.14% K -3.12% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.28%EV -6.37% E -1.77% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.05%EV -5.74% E -2.73% K -5.22% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.67%EV -3.94% E -1.19% K -1.71% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 14:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.93%EV -6.37% E -1.77% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.09%EV -7.09% E -3.42% K -6.62% G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06% NM 28.99%EV -6.27% E -1.95% K -2.82% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.92%EV -7.68% E -2.16% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.88%EV -7.99% E -3.90% K -7.61% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.21%EV -8.31% E -2.64% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-30 11:29 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17% NM 25.86%EV -7.68% E -2.16% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.45%EV -9.33% E -4.62% K -9.15% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.69%EV -6.85% E -2.14% K -3.12% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.71%EV -8.98% E -2.56% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.52%EV -5.74% E -2.73% K -5.22% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.77%EV -5.40% E -1.66% K -2.40% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.07%EV -8.98% E -2.56% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.50%EV -7.99% E -3.90% K -7.61% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.43%EV -9.76% E -3.15% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:40 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.07%EV -8.98% E -2.56% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.50%EV -7.99% E -3.90% K -7.61% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.43%EV -9.76% E -3.15% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.07%EV -8.98% E -2.56% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.50%EV -7.99% E -3.90% K -7.61% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.43%EV -9.76% E -3.15% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:39 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.07%EV -8.98% E -2.56% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.50%EV -7.99% E -3.90% K -7.61% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.43%EV -9.76% E -3.15% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57% NM 25.83%EV -8.98% E -2.56% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 46.36%EV -12.47% E -6.40% K -13.13% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -5.40% E -1.66% K -2.40% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57% NM 25.78%EV -8.98% E -2.56% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.11%EV -10.23% E -5.12% K -10.23% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.11%EV -9.76% E -3.15% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.18%EV -11.58% E -3.40% K -4.82% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 45.79%EV -16.07% E -8.59% K -18.47% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 29.03%EV -14.13% E -4.79% K -7.25% G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.14%EV -12.88% E -3.84% K -5.48% G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08% NM 45.61%EV -13.82% E -7.20% K -15.02% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.25%EV -9.76% E -3.15% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.33I 30.03% NM 25.45%EV -13.40% E -4.02% K -5.75% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 45.82%EV -16.96% E -9.17% K -19.96% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 28.73%EV -14.13% E -4.79% K -7.25% G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 26.67%EV -15.48% E -4.76% K -6.88% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 44.44%EV -12.47% E -6.40% K -13.13% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.89%EV -12.68% E -4.23% K -6.34% G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25% NM 26.28%EV -16.78% E -5.24% K -7.63% G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76% NM 45.21%EV -16.51% E -8.88% K -19.20% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 28.51%EV -14.13% E -4.79% K -7.25% G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Coritiba (Local) | Palmeiras (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33% | 2.14I 46.73% | 3.25I 30.77% | 10.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33% | 2.14I 46.73% | 3.25I 30.77% | 10.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33% | 2.14I 46.73% | 2.56I 39.06% | 19.1% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86% | 1.96I 51.02% | 2.58I 38.76% | 33.6% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |