The School of OddsCoritiba v Palmeiras
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Coritiba (Local)
Prediction 25.75%3.88fair odd
EV +32.36%
Edge +6.30%
Kelly +7.82%
Growth +2.53%
assuming max odds 5.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.52%24.69%25.85%26.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.693.675.1431%27%27%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Palmeiras (Visit)
Prediction 45.46%2.20fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%46.55%45.38%53.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.951.872.1356%51%53%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV -0.954%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.391%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%28.76%28.76%29.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.153.153.4434%32%32%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.52%EV +32.36%E +6.30%K +7.82%G +2.53% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.80%EV -19.54%E -11.04%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -0.954%E -0.277%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 06:40 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -4.72%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.06%EV -3.18%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:07 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.72%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 13:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.01%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -8.18%E -4.05%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 14:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-16 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.18%E -4.05%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:40 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:39 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.09%E -4.54%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -12.44%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.79%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.03%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -13.73%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -12.72%E -6.63%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.33I 30.03%NM 25.45%EV -14.25%E -4.28%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.82%EV -15.91%E -8.60%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.73%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -17.59%E -5.50%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -15.45%E -8.31%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76% | 10.8% | 2026-07-06 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76% | 10.8% | 2026-07-06 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.98% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 39.23% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 32.79% | 19.1% | 2026-07-06 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 32.82% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 38.18% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 29.00% | 33.6% | 2026-07-06 03:15 |