La scuola delle quote

Coritiba v Palmeiras

Inizio: 2026-07-24 00:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Coritiba (Casa)

Previsione 25.75%3.88quota equa
EV +32.36%
Vantaggio +6.30%
Kelly +7.82%
Crescita +2.53%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.52%24.69%25.85%26.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.693.675.1431.25%27.12%27.21%19.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.46%2.20quota equa
EV -3.18%
Vantaggio -1.49%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.96%46.55%45.38%53.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.951.872.1356.50%51.37%53.48%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.79%3.47quota equa
EV -0.954%
Vantaggio -0.277%
Kelly -0.391%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.68%28.76%28.76%29.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.153.153.4433.90%31.75%31.75%29.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle5.14I 19.46%NM 18.52%EV +32.36%E +6.30%K +7.82%G +2.53%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.80%EV -19.54%E -11.04%K -25.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -0.954%E -0.277%K -0.391%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 23:05
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:39
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:40
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:40
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:40
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:40
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:39
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:39
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:39
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:39
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:40
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 03:39
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 06:40
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-25 08:59
1xBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -4.72%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.06%EV -3.18%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 13:07
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.72%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 13:05
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.01%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -8.18%E -4.05%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 01:49
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 14:38
Marathon Bet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 00:10
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 11:15
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.18%E -4.05%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-02 10:20
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 14:40
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 11:40
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 11:40
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 11:39
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-30 11:39
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-01 01:50
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.09%E -4.54%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-01 14:40
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -12.44%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 45.79%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.03%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-01 01:49
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -13.73%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -12.72%E -6.63%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-01 01:50
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 25.45%EV -14.25%E -4.28%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.82%EV -15.91%E -8.60%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.73%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-01 01:50
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-01 14:40
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -17.59%E -5.50%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -15.45%E -8.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-01 01:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%10.8%2026-07-06 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%10.8%2026-07-06 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.98%2.14I 46.73%NM 39.23%2.56I 39.06%NM 32.79%19.1%2026-07-06 02:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 32.82%1.96I 51.02%NM 38.18%2.58I 38.76%NM 29.00%33.6%2026-07-06 03:15