L’École des cotesCoritiba v Palmeiras
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Coritiba (Local)
Prévision 25.75%3.88cote équitable
EV +32.36%
Avantage +6.30%
Kelly +7.82%
Croissance +2.53%
avec la cote maximale 5.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.52%24.69%25.85%26.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.693.675.1431.25%27.12%27.21%19.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palmeiras (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.46%2.20cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.96%46.55%45.38%53.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.951.872.1356.50%51.37%53.48%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.79%3.47cote équitable
EV -0.954%
Avantage -0.277%
Kelly -0.391%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.44
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.68%28.76%28.76%29.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.153.153.4433.90%31.75%31.75%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.52%EV +32.36%E +6.30%K +7.82%G +2.53% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.80%EV -19.54%E -11.04%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -0.954%E -0.277%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 06:40 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -0.855%E -0.222%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.09%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-25 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -4.72%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.06%EV -3.18%E -1.49%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.00%EV -4.70%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 13:07 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.72%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 13:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.01%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -8.18%E -4.05%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.29%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 14:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -3.63%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-16 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.30%E -2.95%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.58%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -8.18%E -4.05%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.86%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.54%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:40 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:39 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.82%E -3.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-30 11:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.87%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.09%E -4.54%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.18%EV -12.44%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.79%EV -15.00%E -8.02%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.03%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -13.73%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -12.72%E -6.63%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.74%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.33I 30.03%NM 25.45%EV -14.25%E -4.28%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.82%EV -15.91%E -8.60%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.73%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-07-01 01:50 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -11.36%E -5.83%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -13.62%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-01 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -17.59%E -5.50%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.21%EV -15.45%E -8.31%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.51%EV -15.06%E -5.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-07-01 01:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76% | 10.8% | 2026-07-06 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76% | 10.8% | 2026-07-06 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.98% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 39.23% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 32.79% | 19.1% | 2026-07-06 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 32.82% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 38.18% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 29.00% | 33.6% | 2026-07-06 03:15 |