Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.14
assuming max odds 3.80
assuming max odds 3.61
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corinthians (Local): 46.31%; Vasco da Gama (Visit): 26.16%; Draw: 27.52%. For Vasco da Gama (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.576%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%EV -0.891%E -0.417%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.916%E -0.254%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%EV -0.891%E -0.417%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.916%E -0.254%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -2.57%E -0.725%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -4.60%E -2.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.60%E -2.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 21:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 21:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -6.59%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.39%EV -0.641%E -0.178%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -6.59%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.39%EV -0.641%E -0.178%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.50%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-20 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -9.47%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.32%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 12:23 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 07:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 12:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 03:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.76%E -4.45%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.71%EV -9.23%E -4.71%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 19:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.69%E -4.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 12:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.68%E -4.73%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.95%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -22.93%E -8.19%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 12:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -12.01%E -6.32%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-23 19:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.52%EV -12.01%E -6.32%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -16.27%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.46%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 19:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |