L’École des cotes

Corinthians v Vasco da Gama

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Prévision 46.31%2.16cote équitable
EV -0.891%
Avantage -0.417%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.19%46.36%46.31%47.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.012.002.1452.63%49.65%50.00%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vasco da Gama (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.16%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.576%
Avantage -0.151%
Kelly -0.206%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.98%26.11%26.10%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.513.503.8031.25%28.47%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.641%
Avantage -0.178%
Kelly -0.246%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.39%27.53%27.59%30.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.373.403.6135.71%29.67%29.41%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%EV -0.891%E -0.417%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.916%E -0.254%K -0.352%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 20:45
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%EV -0.891%E -0.417%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.916%E -0.254%K -0.352%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 20:39
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -2.57%E -0.725%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:39
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:40
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -4.60%E -2.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 23:50
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.60%E -2.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 21:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 21:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 21:19
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:50
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:44
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:44
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -6.59%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.39%EV -0.641%E -0.178%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -6.59%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.39%EV -0.641%E -0.178%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:34
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.50%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 00:10
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -9.47%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.32%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:39
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:25
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:23
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:15
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 07:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:34
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 12:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 20:35
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:14
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:45
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 23:44
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 23:44
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:45
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:39
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.76%E -4.45%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.71%EV -9.23%E -4.71%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 19:14
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.69%E -4.97%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:23
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.68%E -4.73%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.95%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -22.93%E -8.19%K -12.74%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -12.01%E -6.32%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 19:13
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.52%EV -12.01%E -6.32%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -16.27%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.46%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%2.8%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%4.8%2026-04-24 03:15