La escuela de los momios

Corinthians v Vasco da Gama

Inicio: 2026-04-26 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Predicción 46.31%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.891%
Ventaja -0.417%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.19%46.36%46.31%47.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.012.002.1452.63%49.65%50.00%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vasco da Gama (Visitante)

Predicción 26.16%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.576%
Ventaja -0.151%
Kelly -0.206%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.98%26.11%26.10%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.513.503.8031.25%28.47%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.52%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.641%
Ventaja -0.178%
Kelly -0.246%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.39%27.53%27.59%30.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.373.403.6135.71%29.67%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%EV -0.891%E -0.417%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.916%E -0.254%K -0.352%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 20:45
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.51%EV -0.891%E -0.417%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.916%E -0.254%K -0.352%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 20:39
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -3.21%E -1.53%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.96%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.11%EV -2.57%E -0.725%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:45
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:39
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:40
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -2.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:44
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.28%EV -4.60%E -2.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 23:50
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -4.60%E -2.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:45
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 21:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 21:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.06%E -2.47%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 21:19
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:50
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:44
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -5.52%E -2.71%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:44
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -6.59%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.39%EV -0.641%E -0.178%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.93%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -6.59%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.39%EV -0.641%E -0.178%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:54
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -1.88%E -0.502%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:34
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.50%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.15%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-20 00:10
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -5.99%E -2.95%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -9.47%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.32%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:39
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.45%E -3.19%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:25
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:23
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:15
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 07:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:34
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -0.576%E -0.151%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 12:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:24
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 20:35
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:14
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:29
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:45
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.38%E -3.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 23:44
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.12%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.04%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 23:44
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 23:45
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:39
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -8.30%E -4.19%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:39
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.76%E -4.45%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.71%EV -9.23%E -4.71%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 19:14
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -9.69%E -4.97%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 12:23
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -14.68%E -4.73%K -6.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.95%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.54%E -6.04%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -22.93%E -8.19%K -12.74%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 12:24
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.08%EV -12.01%E -6.32%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.13%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-23 19:13
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.52%EV -12.01%E -6.32%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -16.27%E -5.09%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.46%EV -13.30%E -4.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%2.8%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%2.8%2026-04-24 03:05
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%3.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%4.8%2026-04-24 03:15