Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.32
assuming max odds 3.77
assuming max odds 3.12
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corinthians (Local): 41.72%; Atletico Paranaense (Visit): 26.91%; Draw: 31.37%. For Atletico Paranaense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.66%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.69%EV +1.47%E +0.389%K +0.529%G +0.008% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV -0.419%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV -0.419%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -1.76%E -0.483%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -2.30%E -0.634%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.45%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.45%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 22:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.45%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-30 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 21:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.18%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.13%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.69%EV -2.14%E -0.686%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.16%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 22:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-30 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 22:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-30 22:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-30 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-30 21:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.74%E -5.00%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -6.53%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -6.53%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-30 22:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.53%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -13.88%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-30 21:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 42.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96% | 0.0% | 2026-07-30 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-30 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-30 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30% | 1.5% | 2026-07-30 22:25 |
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