Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Corinthians v Atletico Paranaense

Início: 2026-07-30 22:30 UTC

Final: Corinthians 0–0 Atletico Paranaense

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Corinthians (Local)

Previsão 41.72%2.40odd justa
EV -3.21%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.89%41.73%41.79%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.232.232.3247.62%44.90%44.84%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)

Previsão 26.91%3.72odd justa
EV +1.47%
Vantagem +0.389%
Kelly +0.529%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.69%26.90%26.87%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.503.503.7731.25%28.55%28.57%26.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.37%3.19odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -0.686%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.36%31.36%31.34%32.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.963.003.1236.36%33.74%33.33%32.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Corinthians (Local): 41.72%; Atletico Paranaense (Visitante): 26.91%; Empate: 31.37%. Para Atletico Paranaense (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.72. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.77, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.47%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.66%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.69%EV +1.47%E +0.389%K +0.529%G +0.008%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -4.02%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-30 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV -0.419%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-30 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.30%EV -0.419%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.39%EV -2.77%E -0.893%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-30 22:15
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -1.76%E -0.483%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 22:20
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -3.21%E -1.38%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.63%EV -2.30%E -0.634%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.70%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.45%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.45%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 22:05
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.04%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -2.45%E -0.789%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 22:05
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 21:49
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:14
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:14
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:15
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -6.96%E -3.12%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 22:15
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.11%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 22:25
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.63%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.97%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 22:24
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.46%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 22:14
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.18%EV -5.29%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.13%EV -4.99%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.69%EV -2.14%E -0.686%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -7.38%E -3.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -7.16%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 22:24
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:39
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:44
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 22:14
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 22:19
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 22:24
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.34%EV -9.05%E -4.15%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 22:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 22:09
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-30 21:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 22:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 22:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 22:20
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-30 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.80%E -1.66%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.18%E -4.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-30 22:25
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.34%E -1.42%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 21:50
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-30 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-30 22:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.15%E -2.07%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-30 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.13%E -2.72%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 22:15
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.67%E -3.36%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 21:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.50%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.74%E -5.00%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-30 22:25
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -6.53%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 22:24
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -4.88%E -2.14%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -6.53%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -12.39%E -5.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.84%E -2.94%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-30 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -11.18%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.04%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-30 22:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.21%E -3.73%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.53%E -3.86%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.90%E -1.97%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-30 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.30%E -4.79%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -13.88%E -4.34%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -7.47%E -2.53%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-30 21:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%0.0%2026-07-30 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-07-30 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-07-30 22:05
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-07-30 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-07-30 22:25
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.30%1.5%2026-07-30 22:25