La escuela de los momios

Corinthians v Atletico Paranaense

2026-07-30 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Predicción 48.80%2.05momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.94%48.76%48.78%49.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.901.911.9756.82%52.55%52.36%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)

Predicción 22.46%4.45momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.554%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.52%22.49%22.46%24.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.114.204.3727.78%24.31%23.81%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.74%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.668%
Kelly -0.946%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.18%28.75%28.76%29.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.223.253.4033.33%31.06%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.21%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%EV -2.32%E -0.533%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 03:29
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 49.21%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.28%EV -2.32%E -0.533%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 03:34
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.53%EV -3.86%E -1.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%EV -4.56%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 16:19
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -1.87%E -0.428%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.82%EV -4.28%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-26 00:45
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.87%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.69%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 07:48
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 16:19
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 16:19
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 22:34
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.44%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:25
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.44%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 16:20
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.93%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.27%EV -4.79%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.79%EV -5.72%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -5.82%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -4.56%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 22:35
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 03:29
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 03:34
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 03:34
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.57%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.93%E -1.93%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 16:20
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -11.30%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 01:09
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -11.30%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 01:10
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 01:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -3.44%E -0.800%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 15:35
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 02:15
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 16:19
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 22:34
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 15:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 16:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.79%E -3.56%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 16:00
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.56%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -6.87%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:40
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 22:40
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -5.69%E -1.35%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 03:29
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 07:50
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 49.82%EV -8.74%E -4.68%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -2.77%E -0.639%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:10
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.82%EV -8.74%E -4.68%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -2.77%E -0.639%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.58%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:08
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.74%E -4.68%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 08:15
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -9.23%E -4.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -7.93%E -1.93%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 03:29
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.92%EV -9.23%E -4.96%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -7.93%E -1.93%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 03:29
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -9.72%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -7.93%E -1.93%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 03:29
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 46.94%EV -9.72%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -19.16%E -5.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-23 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.77%EV -11.18%E -6.14%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -13.55%E -3.52%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-25 02:10
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -12.16%E -6.76%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -12.42%E -3.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -12.33%E -4.04%K -6.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 06:45
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.73%EV -12.16%E -6.76%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.32%EV -11.75%E -2.99%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.95%EV -12.91%E -4.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 02:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 48.34%EV -14.11%E -8.02%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.31%EV -18.04%E -4.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.36%EV -13.77%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-25 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%13.6%2026-07-25 02:10