Lingua:Italiano
Chapecoense v Vasco da Gama
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Chapecoense (Casa)
Previsione 29.71%3.37quota equa
EV +9.94%
Vantaggio +2.69%
Kelly +3.68%
Crescita +0.366%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.86%29.40%29.93%30.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.273.203.7036.36%30.62%31.25%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Vasco da Gama (Trasferta)
Previsione 41.40%2.42quota equa
EV +0.593%
Vantaggio +0.244%
Kelly +0.415%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.48%41.72%41.32%45.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.192.202.4350.00%45.71%45.45%41.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 28.89%3.46quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.520%
Kelly -0.737%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.82%28.88%28.75%30.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.39%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chapecoense (Casa): 29.71%; Vasco da Gama (Trasferta): 41.40%; Pareggio: 28.89%. Per Chapecoense (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.37. 16 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.94%.
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV +9.94%E +2.69%K +3.68%G +0.366% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV +9.94%E +2.69%K +3.68%G +0.366% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -14.31%E -6.91%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -15.14%E -7.38%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -15.55%E -7.62%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV +1.32%E +0.387%K +0.547%G +0.007% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.08%EV -10.58%E -4.90%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.77%E -0.520%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV +1.32%E +0.387%K +0.547%G +0.007% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.08%EV -10.58%E -4.90%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.77%E -0.520%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.26%EV -5.81%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.48%EV +0.593%E +0.244%K +0.415%G +0.002% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.26%EV -8.41%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 07:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -1.89%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -1.89%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 14:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -5.20%E -2.27%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 15:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-25 06:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -12.94%E -4.42%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.35%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-25 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.69%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.17%EV -15.14%E -7.38%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-07-25 13:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.