La scuola delle quote

Chapecoense v Vasco da Gama

2026-07-29 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

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21 bookmaker (3 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chapecoense (Casa)

Previsione 29.75%3.36quota equa
EV -4.81%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.40%29.75%29.23%31.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.022.953.2035.09%33.10%33.90%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vasco da Gama (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.14%2.43quota equa
EV -0.023%
Vantaggio -0.009%
Kelly -0.016%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.95%41.14%41.55%41.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.292.302.4345.45%43.58%43.48%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.11%3.44quota equa
EV +0.435%
Vantaggio +0.126%
Kelly +0.178%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.98%29.11%29.23%30.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.303.4533.33%30.77%30.30%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.98%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV +0.435%E +0.126%K +0.178%G +0.001%2.9%2026-07-25 11:09
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV -9.28%E -3.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.98%EV -0.023%E -0.009%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV +0.435%E +0.126%K +0.178%G +0.001%2.9%2026-07-25 11:09
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 11:10
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 11:09
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 11:09
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 11:10
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 11:09
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -3.31%E -1.41%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 11:10
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -12.25%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -2.48%E -0.739%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 20:50
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -4.55%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -13.74%E -4.74%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -5.37%E -2.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 20:50
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -15.23%E -5.34%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -6.19%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 20:50
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -15.23%E -5.34%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -6.19%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 20:50
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -15.23%E -5.34%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -6.19%E -2.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 20:50
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.66%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:34
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.66%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 23:54
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.30%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.30%E -2.63%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 23:54
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 23:50
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 23:50
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 23:50
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.81%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.66%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 23:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.