Langue:Français
Chapecoense v Vasco da Gama
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chapecoense (Local)
Prévision 29.71%3.37cote équitable
EV +9.94%
Avantage +2.69%
Kelly +3.68%
Croissance +0.366%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%29.40%29.93%30.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.273.203.7036.36%30.62%31.25%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Vasco da Gama (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.40%2.42cote équitable
EV +0.593%
Avantage +0.244%
Kelly +0.415%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 2.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.48%41.72%41.32%45.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.192.202.4350.00%45.71%45.45%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.89%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.520%
Kelly -0.737%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.82%28.88%28.75%30.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.39%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chapecoense (Local) : 29.71% ; Vasco da Gama (Visiteur) : 41.40% ; Match nul : 28.89%. Pour Chapecoense (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.70, soit une espérance positive de +9.94%.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV +9.94%E +2.69%K +3.68%G +0.366% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV +9.94%E +2.69%K +3.68%G +0.366% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -14.31%E -6.91%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -15.14%E -7.38%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -15.55%E -7.62%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV +1.32%E +0.387%K +0.547%G +0.007% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.08%EV -10.58%E -4.90%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.77%E -0.520%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV +1.32%E +0.387%K +0.547%G +0.007% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.08%EV -10.58%E -4.90%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.77%E -0.520%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.26%EV -5.81%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.48%EV +0.593%E +0.244%K +0.415%G +0.002% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.26%EV -8.41%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 07:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -1.89%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -1.89%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 14:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -5.20%E -2.27%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 15:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-25 06:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -12.94%E -4.42%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.35%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-25 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.69%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.17%EV -15.14%E -7.38%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-07-25 13:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.