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Chapecoense v Vasco da Gama
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Chapecoense (Heim)
Prognose 29.71%3.37faire Quote
EV +9.94%
Vorteil +2.69%
Kelly +3.68%
Wachstum +0.366%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.86%29.40%29.93%30.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.753.273.203.7036.36%30.62%31.25%27.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Vasco da Gama (Auswärts)
Prognose 41.40%2.42faire Quote
EV +0.593%
Vorteil +0.244%
Kelly +0.415%
Wachstum +0.002%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.48%41.72%41.32%45.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.002.192.202.4350.00%45.71%45.45%41.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 28.89%3.46faire Quote
EV -1.77%
Vorteil -0.520%
Kelly -0.737%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.40
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.82%28.88%28.75%30.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.39%31.25%29.41%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chapecoense (Heim): 29.71%; Vasco da Gama (Auswärts): 41.40%; Unentschieden: 28.89%. Für Chapecoense (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.37. 16 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.70 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +9.94%.
Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV +9.94%E +2.69%K +3.68%G +0.366% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV +9.94%E +2.69%K +3.68%G +0.366% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.99%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV +6.96%E +1.93%K +2.68%G +0.187% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -13.90%E -6.68%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -14.31%E -6.91%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -15.14%E -7.38%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV +5.48%E +1.54%K +2.15%G +0.118% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -15.55%E -7.62%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV +2.51%E +0.727%K +1.02%G +0.026% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -17.21%E -8.60%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-27 01:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV +1.32%E +0.387%K +0.547%G +0.007% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.08%EV -10.58%E -4.90%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.77%E -0.520%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 00:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV +1.32%E +0.387%K +0.547%G +0.007% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.08%EV -10.58%E -4.90%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -1.77%E -0.520%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 00:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -3.21%E -0.959%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-27 01:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.26%EV -5.81%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.48%EV +0.593%E +0.244%K +0.415%G +0.002% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.26%EV -8.41%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-23 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 07:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -1.89%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-23 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -1.89%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -2.72%E -1.16%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-23 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-23 14:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -5.20%E -2.27%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-23 15:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-23 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.66%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.66%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-25 06:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -12.94%E -4.42%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.35%EV -12.24%E -5.77%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-23 14:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.59%EV -13.83%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.26%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-25 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.69%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.17%EV -15.14%E -7.38%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-07-25 13:59 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.