Die Schule der Quoten

Chapecoense v Grêmio

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-16 23:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Chapecoense (Heim)

Prognose 31.54%3.17faire Quote
EV -0.660%
Vorteil -0.209%
Kelly -0.307%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.25%31.58%31.59%33.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.702.942.923.1537.04%34.04%34.25%31.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Grêmio (Auswärts)

Prognose 40.53%2.47faire Quote
EV -2.72%
Vorteil -1.13%
Kelly -1.94%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.25%40.52%40.50%41.71%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.052.282.302.4048.78%43.82%43.48%41.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.93%3.58faire Quote
EV -1.97%
Vorteil -0.561%
Kelly -0.785%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.51

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.82%27.89%27.91%29.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.883.313.353.5134.72%30.25%29.85%28.49%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.78%EV -0.660%E -0.209%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.61%EV -5.55%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -1.97%E -0.561%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 22:50
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.94%EV -1.29%E -0.412%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.39%EV -5.15%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.67%EV -2.25%E -0.643%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 22:45
BetOnline.ag3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -1.61%E -0.515%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 22:35
LowVig.ag3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -1.61%E -0.515%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 22:35
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 22:55
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 22:55
Coolbet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.81%EV -4.76%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.02%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.17%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 22:50
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 22:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 22:35
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 22:30
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 22:29
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 22:40
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 22:30
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.28%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 22:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 22:54
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 22:55
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:55
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -7.58%E -3.32%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 22:35
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:50
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 22:55
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.91%E -2.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 22:50
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.91%E -2.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 22:50
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.23%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.24%EV -7.18%E -3.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.09%EV -8.39%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 22:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.25%E -0.643%K -0.900%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 22:54
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 22:50
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -9.61%E -4.31%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 22:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 22:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 22:40
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 22:40
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 22:50
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 22:35
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 22:30
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 22:30
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.11%EV -9.49%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.15%EV -12.04%E -5.55%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -10.07%E -3.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 22:40
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 22:55
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 22:55
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 22:40
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 22:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -12.85%E -5.98%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-16 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.71%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.55%EV -11.19%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-16 22:50
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.57%E -6.79%K -10.41%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-16 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.27%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.85%E -5.98%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 22:40
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.94%EV -14.85%E -5.50%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.75%EV -16.90%E -8.25%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.32%EV -17.61%E -5.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-16 22:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.23%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.15%0.1%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-03-16 22:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-03-16 22:45