مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chapecoense v Grêmio

البداية: 2026-03-16 23:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chapecoense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.54%3.17السعر العادل
EV -0.660%
الأفضلية -0.209%
Kelly -0.307%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.25%31.58%31.59%33.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.942.923.1537.04%34.04%34.25%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.53%2.47السعر العادل
EV -2.72%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -1.94%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.25%40.52%40.50%41.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.282.302.4048.78%43.82%43.48%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.93%3.58السعر العادل
EV -1.97%
الأفضلية -0.561%
Kelly -0.785%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.82%27.89%27.91%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.313.353.5134.72%30.25%29.85%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.78%EV -0.660%E -0.209%K -0.307%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.61%EV -5.55%E -2.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -1.97%E -0.561%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-16 22:50
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.94%EV -1.29%E -0.412%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.39%EV -5.15%E -2.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.67%EV -2.25%E -0.643%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 22:45
BetOnline.ag3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -1.61%E -0.515%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 22:35
LowVig.ag3.12I 32.05%NM 30.54%EV -1.61%E -0.515%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 22:35
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 22:55
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.69%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.07%EV -3.65%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 22:55
Coolbet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.81%EV -4.76%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.02%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.17%EV -4.76%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 22:50
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 22:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 22:35
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 22:30
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 22:29
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:35
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 22:40
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 22:30
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.39%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.28%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 22:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 22:54
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.93%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 22:55
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-16 22:55
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -7.58%E -3.32%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-16 22:35
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:50
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 22:55
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.91%E -2.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 22:50
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -7.91%E -2.71%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-16 22:50
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.23%E -2.83%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.24%EV -7.18%E -3.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.09%EV -8.39%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-16 22:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.77%E -2.94%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -2.25%E -0.643%K -0.900%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 22:54
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 22:50
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -9.61%E -4.31%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-16 22:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 22:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 22:40
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.54%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 22:40
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 22:50
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-16 22:35
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 22:30
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -9.17%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-16 22:30
Betclic (FR)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.11%EV -9.49%E -3.31%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.15%EV -12.04%E -5.55%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -10.07%E -3.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 22:40
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 22:55
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 22:55
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.84%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-16 22:40
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -10.82%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 22:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -12.85%E -5.98%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-16 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.71%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.55%EV -11.19%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-16 22:50
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -4.74%E -2.02%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -14.88%E -7.08%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.57%E -6.79%K -10.41%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-16 22:30
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.27%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.85%E -5.98%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 22:40
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 30.94%EV -14.85%E -5.50%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.75%EV -16.90%E -8.25%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.32%EV -17.61%E -5.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-16 22:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.23%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.15%0.1%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.12%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-03-16 22:50
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-03-16 22:45