Школа коэффициентов

Chapecoense v Bragantino-SP

Начало: 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Итог: Chapecoense 1–2 Bragantino-SP

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Chapecoense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 23.15%4.32справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.18%
Преимущество +0.929%
Kelly +1.19%
Рост +0.050%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.39%23.15%23.09%24.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.654.104.104.5027.40%24.41%24.39%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Bragantino-SP (Гости)

Прогноз 49.10%2.04справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.28%
Преимущество -1.67%
Kelly -3.38%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.97

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.47%49.02%49.15%51.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.761.881.911.9756.82%53.19%52.36%50.76%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.75%3.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.47%
Преимущество -0.415%
Kelly -0.578%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.06%27.83%27.76%29.69%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.343.383.5534.72%29.94%29.59%28.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.18%E +0.929%K +1.19%G +0.050%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -7.21%E -3.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -1.47%E -0.415%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 20:55
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.18%E +0.929%K +1.19%G +0.050%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -7.21%E -3.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -1.47%E -0.415%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 20:55
1xBet4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +2.79%E +0.629%K +0.811%G +0.023%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.48%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -9.66%E -5.25%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 20:56
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:53
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:53
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:53
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:53
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:56
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -0.450%E -0.105%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -11.14%E -6.15%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 20:55
GTbets4.28I 23.36%NM 22.26%EV -0.913%E -0.213%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 19:35
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69%EV -1.38%E -0.323%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.06%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.26%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 21:11
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
BetAnything4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 20:56
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.07%EV -12.61%E -7.08%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 20:53
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.07%EV -12.61%E -7.08%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 20:53
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 19:10
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 20:55
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 20:46
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.59%E -7.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 20:55
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.59%E -7.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 20:54
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:45
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.19%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 20:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 20:49
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 19:10
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 20:45
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 21:05
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 21:25
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.17%E -4.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 20:55
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.06%EV -6.24%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 21:23
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 19:10
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 19:10
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 20:50
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:55
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:55
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:55
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.55%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 20:45
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.55%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 20:45
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 21:25
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 20:16
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 20:15
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 21:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -8.68%E -4.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:50
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.07%EV -10.65%E -5.85%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -10.63%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 21:05
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:50
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.19%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 21:04
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.17%E -4.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 21:25
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 21:25
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -20.07%E -6.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-03 20:55
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.50%E -4.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 20:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-05-03 21:25
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-03 21:00