La scuola delle quote

Chapecoense v Bragantino-SP

Inizio: 2026-05-03 21:30 UTC

Finale: Chapecoense 1–2 Bragantino-SP

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chapecoense (Casa)

Previsione 23.15%4.32quota equa
EV +4.18%
Vantaggio +0.929%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescita +0.050%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.39%23.15%23.09%24.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.104.104.5027.40%24.41%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bragantino-SP (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.10%2.04quota equa
EV -3.28%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -3.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.47%49.02%49.15%51.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.881.911.9756.82%53.19%52.36%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.75%3.60quota equa
EV -1.47%
Vantaggio -0.415%
Kelly -0.578%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.06%27.83%27.76%29.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.343.383.5534.72%29.94%29.59%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.18%E +0.929%K +1.19%G +0.050%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -7.21%E -3.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -1.47%E -0.415%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 20:55
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +4.18%E +0.929%K +1.19%G +0.050%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -7.21%E -3.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -1.47%E -0.415%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 20:55
1xBet4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV +2.79%E +0.629%K +0.811%G +0.023%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.48%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -2.86%E -0.818%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 21:25
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -9.66%E -5.25%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 20:56
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:53
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:53
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:53
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:53
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:56
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV +0.707%E +0.163%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -0.450%E -0.105%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.99%EV -11.14%E -6.15%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 20:55
GTbets4.28I 23.36%NM 22.26%EV -0.913%E -0.213%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -6.75%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 19:35
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69%EV -1.38%E -0.323%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.06%EV -3.28%E -1.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.26%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 21:11
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
BetAnything4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.20%EV -6.19%E -1.83%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 21:20
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 20:56
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.07%EV -12.61%E -7.08%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 20:53
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.39%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.07%EV -12.61%E -7.08%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 20:53
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 19:10
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 20:55
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 20:46
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.59%E -7.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 20:55
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -2.77%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.59%E -7.72%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 20:54
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.25%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 18:45
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.19%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 20:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 20:49
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 19:10
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 20:45
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 21:05
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 21:25
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.17%E -4.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 20:55
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.06%EV -6.24%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 21:20
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.25%E -2.72%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 21:23
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 19:10
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 19:10
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 20:50
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:55
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:55
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:55
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.55%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 20:45
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.55%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.74%E -2.99%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 20:45
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 21:25
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.23%E -3.26%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 20:16
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 20:15
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 21:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 20:55
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -8.68%E -4.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.02%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 20:50
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.07%EV -10.65%E -5.85%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -10.63%E -3.30%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 21:05
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -4.26%E -2.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:50
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.19%E -4.38%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 21:04
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -9.17%E -4.96%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 21:25
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.16%E -5.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.96%E -4.50%K -6.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 21:25
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.72%E -3.54%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.41%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -20.07%E -6.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-03 20:55
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.50%E -4.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -11.63%E -6.46%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -9.80%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 20:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-05-03 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-05-03 21:25
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-05-03 21:25
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-05-03 21:00