Школа коэффициентов

Chapecoense v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

Итог: Chapecoense 1–4 Botafogo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Chapecoense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 26.51%3.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.98%
Преимущество +1.26%
Kelly +1.68%
Рост +0.084%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.96

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.50%26.54%26.53%28.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.473.403.9631.25%28.82%29.41%25.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 46.05%2.17справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.385%
Преимущество +0.176%
Kelly +0.326%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.18

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.35%46.07%45.99%49.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.832.042.042.1854.64%49.10%49.02%45.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.44%3.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.440%
Преимущество +0.120%
Kelly +0.166%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.66

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.39%27.39%27.48%28.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.363.353.6633.33%29.72%29.85%27.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet3.96I 25.25%NM 24.50%EV +4.98%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.00%EV -8.82%E -4.46%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +0.440%E +0.120%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.1%2026-04-18 21:25
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 25.17%EV +1.80%E +0.468%K +0.632%G +0.011%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.14%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.69%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 21:25
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.92%E -0.518%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:24
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.24%E -0.888%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.52%E -3.21%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 21:17
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.51%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:25
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 21:00
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:25
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:25
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:15
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 21:20
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.29%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 21:20
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 21:15
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 21:14
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV +0.385%E +0.176%K +0.326%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV +0.385%E +0.176%K +0.326%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.63%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 21:25
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:15
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:15
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
GTbets3.49I 28.65%NM 27.19%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.62%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.19%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 21:25
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 21:20
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:15
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 21:15
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 21:00
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 21:15
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 21:15
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -11.13%E -5.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 21:19
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -11.72%E -3.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 21:20
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:20
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:20
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 21:20
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 21:15
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 21:15
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.93%E -4.82%K -7.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -15.73%E -8.60%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-18 21:25
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -10.67%E -5.50%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 21:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-04-18 21:25
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%4.1%2026-04-18 21:25