مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chapecoense v Botafogo

البداية: 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chapecoense 1–4 Botafogo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chapecoense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.51%3.77السعر العادل
EV +4.98%
الأفضلية +1.26%
Kelly +1.68%
النمو +0.084%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.50%26.54%26.53%28.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.473.403.9631.25%28.82%29.41%25.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botafogo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.05%2.17السعر العادل
EV +0.385%
الأفضلية +0.176%
Kelly +0.326%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.35%46.07%45.99%49.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.042.042.1854.64%49.10%49.02%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.44%3.64السعر العادل
EV +0.440%
الأفضلية +0.120%
Kelly +0.166%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.39%27.39%27.48%28.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.363.353.6633.33%29.72%29.85%27.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.96I 25.25%NM 24.50%EV +4.98%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.00%EV -8.82%E -4.46%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +0.440%E +0.120%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.1%2026-04-18 21:25
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 25.17%EV +1.80%E +0.468%K +0.632%G +0.011%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.14%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.69%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 21:25
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.92%E -0.518%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:24
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.24%E -0.888%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.52%E -3.21%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 21:17
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.51%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:25
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 21:00
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:25
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:25
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:15
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 21:20
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.29%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 21:20
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 21:15
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 21:14
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV +0.385%E +0.176%K +0.326%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV +0.385%E +0.176%K +0.326%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.63%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 21:25
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:15
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:15
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
GTbets3.49I 28.65%NM 27.19%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.62%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.19%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 21:25
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 21:20
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:15
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 21:15
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 21:00
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 21:15
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 21:15
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -11.13%E -5.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 21:19
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -11.72%E -3.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 21:20
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:20
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:20
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 21:20
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 21:15
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 21:15
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.93%E -4.82%K -7.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -15.73%E -8.60%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-18 21:25
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -10.67%E -5.50%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 21:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-04-18 21:25
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%4.1%2026-04-18 21:25