La scuola delle quote

Chapecoense v Botafogo

Inizio: 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC

Finale: Chapecoense 1–4 Botafogo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chapecoense (Casa)

Previsione 26.51%3.77quota equa
EV +4.98%
Vantaggio +1.26%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescita +0.084%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.50%26.54%26.53%28.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.473.403.9631.25%28.82%29.41%25.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.05%2.17quota equa
EV +0.385%
Vantaggio +0.176%
Kelly +0.326%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.35%46.07%45.99%49.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.042.042.1854.64%49.10%49.02%45.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.44%3.64quota equa
EV +0.440%
Vantaggio +0.120%
Kelly +0.166%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.39%27.39%27.48%28.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.363.353.6633.33%29.72%29.85%27.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.96I 25.25%NM 24.50%EV +4.98%E +1.26%K +1.68%G +0.084%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.00%EV -8.82%E -4.46%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV +0.440%E +0.120%K +0.166%G +0.001%3.1%2026-04-18 21:25
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
BetAnything3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV +2.06%E +0.535%K +0.723%G +0.015%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 21:20
Pinnacle3.84I 26.04%NM 25.17%EV +1.80%E +0.468%K +0.632%G +0.011%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.14%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.69%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 21:25
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -1.92%E -0.518%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:24
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -3.24%E -0.888%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.52%E -3.21%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 21:17
Marathon Bet3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -3.51%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:25
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 21:00
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:25
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:25
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 21:15
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 21:20
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.29%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 21:20
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 21:15
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.89%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 21:14
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV +0.385%E +0.176%K +0.326%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.35%EV +0.385%E +0.176%K +0.326%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.63%EV -4.68%E -2.26%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 21:25
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 21:15
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 21:15
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.22%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 21:25
GTbets3.49I 28.65%NM 27.19%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.62%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.19%EV -4.22%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 21:25
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 21:20
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:15
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 21:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 21:15
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 21:00
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.87%E -2.90%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 21:15
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -4.22%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 21:15
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.47%EV -5.14%E -2.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 21:15
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.19%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -11.13%E -5.77%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 21:19
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -11.72%E -3.52%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.21%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 21:20
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:20
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 21:20
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 21:20
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 21:15
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 21:15
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -14.93%E -4.82%K -7.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -12.52%E -3.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -15.73%E -8.60%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -17.67%E -5.89%K -8.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-18 21:25
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -13.84%E -4.26%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -6.98%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -15.17%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.39%EV -10.67%E -5.50%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 21:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-18 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.51%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-18 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-04-18 21:25
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-04-18 21:25
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%4.1%2026-04-18 21:25