La scuola delle quote

Botafogo v Vitoria

Inizio: 2026-02-25 21:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 58.32%1.71quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -1.56%
Kelly -3.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.51%58.47%57.89%62.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.581.571.6771.43%63.41%63.69%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vitoria (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.61%5.68quota equa
EV +18.88%
Vantaggio +2.80%
Kelly +3.28%
Crescita +0.620%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.09%17.53%17.95%20.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.385.406.7522.22%18.60%18.52%14.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.07%4.16quota equa
EV +1.31%
Vantaggio +0.312%
Kelly +0.410%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.37%24.00%24.16%25.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.803.804.2130.30%26.33%26.32%23.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +18.88%E +2.80%K +3.28%G +0.620%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:50
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -11.93%E -7.90%K -23.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +14.48%E +2.23%K +2.63%G +0.381%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:49
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +10.08%E +1.61%K +1.92%G +0.193%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:50
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV +10.08%E +1.61%K +1.92%G +0.193%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:50
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.60%E -6.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +5.67%E +0.945%K +1.13%G +0.064%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 02:34
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +5.67%E +0.945%K +1.13%G +0.064%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 02:35
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +2.15%E +0.371%K +0.448%G +0.010%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +2.15%E +0.371%K +0.448%G +0.010%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-20 05:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:50
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.19%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 02:39
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-20 13:20
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-24 02:34
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 02:30
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 13:30
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 05:00
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 04:59
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:40
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.67%EV -18.35%E -13.11%K -45.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.60%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-24 02:34
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 04:34
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 04:34
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 13:29
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.99%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 04:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 04:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 04:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 04:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-23 04:38
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 04:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 04:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 04:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 13:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 04:34
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 04:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -18.18%E -5.35%K -7.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-24 02:30
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.13%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -13.70%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-23 04:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.46%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.13%EV -14.58%E -3.01%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-23 13:29
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.73%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.09%EV -14.58%E -3.01%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.64%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-23 13:28
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.46%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.51%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.58%EV -18.98%E -4.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -20.58%E -6.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-23 13:42
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -20.57%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.37%EV +1.31%E +0.312%K +0.410%G +0.005%6.2%2026-02-23 04:35
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -20.75%E -4.61%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 04:34
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.01%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -20.75%E -4.61%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-23 13:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-02-24 07:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-02-24 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-02-24 07:24