مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Vitoria

البداية: 2026-02-25 21:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.32%1.71السعر العادل
EV -2.60%
الأفضلية -1.56%
Kelly -3.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.51%58.47%57.89%62.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.581.571.6771.43%63.41%63.69%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vitoria (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.61%5.68السعر العادل
EV +18.88%
الأفضلية +2.80%
Kelly +3.28%
النمو +0.620%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.09%17.53%17.95%20.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.385.406.7522.22%18.60%18.52%14.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.07%4.16السعر العادل
EV +1.31%
الأفضلية +0.312%
Kelly +0.410%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.37%24.00%24.16%25.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.803.804.2130.30%26.33%26.32%23.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +18.88%E +2.80%K +3.28%G +0.620%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:50
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -11.93%E -7.90%K -23.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +14.48%E +2.23%K +2.63%G +0.381%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:49
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +10.08%E +1.61%K +1.92%G +0.193%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 15:50
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV +10.08%E +1.61%K +1.92%G +0.193%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:50
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.60%E -6.19%K -17.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +5.67%E +0.945%K +1.13%G +0.064%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 02:34
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +5.67%E +0.945%K +1.13%G +0.064%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 02:35
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +2.15%E +0.371%K +0.448%G +0.010%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +2.15%E +0.371%K +0.448%G +0.010%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-20 05:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:50
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.19%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-24 02:39
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 05:40
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-20 13:20
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-20 05:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-24 02:34
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-24 02:30
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 13:30
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 05:00
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-23 04:59
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:40
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.67%EV -18.35%E -13.11%K -45.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.60%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%17.7%2026-02-24 02:34
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 04:34
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 04:34
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 13:29
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.99%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 04:34
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 04:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 04:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 04:34
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-23 04:38
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-23 04:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 04:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 04:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 13:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 04:34
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-23 04:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -18.18%E -5.35%K -7.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-24 02:30
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.13%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -13.70%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-23 04:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.46%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.13%EV -14.58%E -3.01%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-23 13:29
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.73%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.09%EV -14.58%E -3.01%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.64%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-23 13:28
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.46%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-23 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.51%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.58%EV -18.98%E -4.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -20.58%E -6.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-23 13:42
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -20.57%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.37%EV +1.31%E +0.312%K +0.410%G +0.005%6.2%2026-02-23 04:35
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -20.75%E -4.61%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 04:34
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.01%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -20.75%E -4.61%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-23 13:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-02-24 07:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-02-24 07:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-02-24 07:24