L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Botafogo v Vitoria
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 58.32%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.51%58.47%57.89%62.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.581.571.6771.43%63.41%63.69%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vitoria (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.61%5.68cote équitable
EV +18.88%
Avantage +2.80%
Kelly +3.28%
Croissance +0.620%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.09%17.53%17.95%20.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.385.406.7522.22%18.60%18.52%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.07%4.16cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.312%
Kelly +0.410%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 4.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.37%24.00%24.16%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.803.804.2130.30%26.33%26.32%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +18.88%E +2.80%K +3.28%G +0.620% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -11.93%E -7.90%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +14.48%E +2.23%K +2.63%G +0.381% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +10.08%E +1.61%K +1.92%G +0.193% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV +10.08%E +1.61%K +1.92%G +0.193% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.60%E -6.19%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +5.67%E +0.945%K +1.13%G +0.064% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 02:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +5.67%E +0.945%K +1.13%G +0.064% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 02:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +2.15%E +0.371%K +0.448%G +0.010% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +2.15%E +0.371%K +0.448%G +0.010% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.19%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 02:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-20 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-24 02:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 02:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-23 05:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-23 04:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.67%EV -18.35%E -13.11%K -45.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.60%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-02-24 02:34 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 13:29 |
| GTbets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.99%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-23 04:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-23 04:59 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 04:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -18.18%E -5.35%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-24 02:30 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.13%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -13.70%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-23 04:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.46%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.13%EV -14.58%E -3.01%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-23 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.73%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.09%EV -14.58%E -3.01%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.64%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-23 13:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.46%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-23 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.51%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.58%EV -18.98%E -4.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -20.58%E -6.24%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-23 13:42 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -20.57%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.37%EV +1.31%E +0.312%K +0.410%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 04:35 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -20.75%E -4.61%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.01%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -20.75%E -4.61%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-23 13:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-02-24 07:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-02-24 07:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-02-24 07:24 |