La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Botafogo v Vitoria
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo (Local)
Predicción 58.32%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -3.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.51%58.47%57.89%62.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.581.571.6771.43%63.41%63.69%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vitoria (Visitante)
Predicción 17.61%5.68momio equitativo
EV +18.88%
Ventaja +2.80%
Kelly +3.28%
Crecimiento +0.620%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.09%17.53%17.95%20.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.385.406.7522.22%18.60%18.52%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.07%4.16momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.312%
Kelly +0.410%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.37%24.00%24.16%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.803.804.2130.30%26.33%26.32%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +18.88%E +2.80%K +3.28%G +0.620% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.75%EV -11.93%E -7.90%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV +14.48%E +2.23%K +2.63%G +0.381% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +10.08%E +1.61%K +1.92%G +0.193% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV +10.08%E +1.61%K +1.92%G +0.193% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.60%E -6.19%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +5.67%E +0.945%K +1.13%G +0.064% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 02:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV +5.67%E +0.945%K +1.13%G +0.064% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 02:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +2.15%E +0.371%K +0.448%G +0.010% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.89%EV -4.35%E -2.65%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.65%EV +2.15%E +0.371%K +0.448%G +0.010% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -7.35%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 05:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.19%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +1.27%E +0.221%K +0.267%G +0.003% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-24 02:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.20%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -9.02%E -5.78%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.37%E -0.245%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-20 13:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-24 02:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.13%E -0.570%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-24 02:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-23 05:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-23 04:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.70%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.67%EV -18.35%E -13.11%K -45.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.73%EV -4.89%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.60%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-02-24 02:34 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.26%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -5.52%E -3.41%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.54%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.15%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 13:29 |
| GTbets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.80%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.99%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -10.00%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -3.77%E -2.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.96%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-23 04:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.68%E -4.18%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-23 04:59 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 04:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.76%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -12.52%E -8.34%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -11.94%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -18.18%E -5.35%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-02-24 02:30 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.13%EV -8.43%E -5.37%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.30%EV -13.70%E -2.80%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-23 04:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.46%EV -10.77%E -7.04%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.13%EV -14.58%E -3.01%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -13.37%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-23 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.73%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.09%EV -14.58%E -3.01%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.64%E -3.48%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-23 13:28 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.93%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -15.46%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-23 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.51%EV -10.18%E -6.61%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.58%EV -18.98%E -4.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -20.58%E -6.24%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-23 13:42 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -3.18%E -1.92%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -20.57%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.37%EV +1.31%E +0.312%K +0.410%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 04:35 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -20.75%E -4.61%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.74%E -0.935%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 04:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.01%EV -11.35%E -7.47%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -20.75%E -4.61%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-23 13:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-02-24 07:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-02-24 07:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-02-24 07:24 |