La scuola delle quote

Botafogo v Mirassol

Inizio: 2026-04-01 22:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 40.47%2.47quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -0.687%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.93%40.62%40.47%43.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.272.302.4347.62%44.05%43.48%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirassol (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.90%3.24quota equa
EV +5.07%
Vantaggio +1.49%
Kelly +2.11%
Crescita +0.107%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.46%30.73%30.91%31.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.073.053.4036.36%32.57%32.79%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.63%3.49quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.354%
Kelly -0.498%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.69%28.66%28.62%31.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.243.253.4536.36%30.89%30.77%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.22%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV +5.07%E +1.49%K +2.11%G +0.107%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%EV -1.22%E -0.354%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-01 22:15
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.22%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV +5.07%E +1.49%K +2.11%G +0.107%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%EV -1.22%E -0.354%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-01 22:15
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.03%EV -6.52%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%EV +2.91%E +0.873%K +1.25%G +0.036%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.81%EV -3.51%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-01 22:20
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:14
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:14
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV +0.434%E +0.134%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 22:14
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -14.21%E -6.70%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV +0.434%E +0.134%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -4.08%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -13.00%E -6.05%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -1.11%E -0.347%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 22:15
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -13.40%E -6.26%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.11%E -0.347%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 22:09
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 41.04%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.07%EV -1.73%E -0.544%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.89%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 21:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -14.21%E -6.70%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:14
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -15.02%E -7.15%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -15.02%E -7.15%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:09
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.67%E -0.687%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.08%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 22:10
Coolbet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:04
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:48
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:49
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:13
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:09
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:59
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:14
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:19
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -5.31%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 22:00
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 22:09
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.36%EV -6.52%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -6.67%E -2.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -7.23%E -2.23%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:14
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:04
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 22:15
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:50
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:05
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 22:09
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 22:15
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -13.00%E -6.05%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-01 22:00
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.56%EV -9.76%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.51%EV -10.38%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 22:04
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-01 21:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -14.11%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -14.11%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 21:49
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.00%E -6.05%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -21.26%E -7.73%K -12.15%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-01 22:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-04-01 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-01 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-04-01 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-04-01 22:15
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-04-01 22:20
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-01 22:10