مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Mirassol

البداية: 2026-04-01 22:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.47%2.47السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -0.687%
Kelly -1.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.93%40.62%40.47%43.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.272.302.4347.62%44.05%43.48%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mirassol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.90%3.24السعر العادل
EV +5.07%
الأفضلية +1.49%
Kelly +2.11%
النمو +0.107%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.46%30.73%30.91%31.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.073.053.4036.36%32.57%32.79%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.63%3.49السعر العادل
EV -1.22%
الأفضلية -0.354%
Kelly -0.498%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.69%28.66%28.62%31.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.243.253.4536.36%30.89%30.77%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.22%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV +5.07%E +1.49%K +2.11%G +0.107%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%EV -1.22%E -0.354%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-01 22:15
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 43.22%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV +5.07%E +1.49%K +2.11%G +0.107%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%EV -1.22%E -0.354%K -0.498%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-01 22:15
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 42.03%EV -6.52%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.16%EV +2.91%E +0.873%K +1.25%G +0.036%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.81%EV -3.51%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-01 22:20
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:14
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:14
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV +1.98%E +0.600%K +0.861%G +0.017%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:15
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV +0.434%E +0.134%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 22:14
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -14.21%E -6.70%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV +0.434%E +0.134%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -4.08%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -13.00%E -6.05%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -1.11%E -0.347%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 22:15
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -13.40%E -6.26%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -1.11%E -0.347%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 22:09
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 41.04%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.07%EV -1.73%E -0.544%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.89%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 21:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -14.21%E -6.70%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:14
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -15.02%E -7.15%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -15.02%E -7.15%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -2.66%E -0.843%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-01 22:09
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.67%E -0.687%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.24%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -4.08%E -1.22%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 22:10
Coolbet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -3.69%E -1.55%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:04
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:48
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:49
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 22:13
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:05
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.73%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 22:09
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 22:00
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.49%EV -5.72%E -2.45%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:59
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:14
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:20
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 22:19
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 40.21%EV -5.31%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 22:00
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -6.12%E -2.64%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -5.75%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 22:09
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.36%EV -6.52%E -2.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -6.67%E -2.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -7.23%E -2.23%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:14
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 22:04
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 22:15
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.52%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:50
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 22:05
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 22:09
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -4.91%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.20%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.35%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 22:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.38%E -2.62%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 22:15
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -13.00%E -6.05%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-01 22:00
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -11.78%E -5.41%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.56%EV -9.76%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.51%EV -10.38%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-01 22:04
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-01 21:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:04
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.24%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 22:00
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.98%E -4.99%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -6.95%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 22:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -6.93%E -3.01%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -14.11%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 22:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -14.11%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-01 21:49
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.00%E -6.05%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -9.81%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-01 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -8.95%E -3.98%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -15.02%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.03%EV -21.26%E -7.73%K -12.15%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-01 22:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%0.2%2026-04-01 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-01 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-04-01 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-04-01 22:15
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-04-01 22:20
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-01 22:10