StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Botafogo v Atletico Paranaense

Matchstart: 2026-08-24 23:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Botafogo 2–3 Atletico Paranaense

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Botafogo (Hemma)

Prognos 39.53%2.53rättvist odds
EV -1.18%
Fördel -0.473%
Kelly -0.788%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.84%39.65%39.56%41.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.63%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Paranaense (Borta)

Prognos 31.45%3.18rättvist odds
EV +0.012%
Fördel +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.60%31.39%31.40%33.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.962.923.1836.36%33.84%34.19%31.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.02%3.45rättvist odds
EV +1.000%
Fördel +0.287%
Kelly +0.403%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.69%28.96%29.04%29.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.193.203.4833.33%31.38%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Botafogo (Hemma): 39.53%; Atletico Paranaense (Borta): 31.45%; Oavgjort: 29.02%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.45. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.48, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.000%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -1.18%E -0.473%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.25%EV -8.17%E -2.80%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV +1.000%E +0.287%K +0.403%G +0.004%3.0%2026-08-24 22:54
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.551%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 22:54
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.32%E -0.389%K -0.551%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 22:43
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.80%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -1.56%E -0.499%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.31%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 22:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.08%EV -3.16%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.91%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.01%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-24 22:14
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.22%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.91%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.37%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.72%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-24 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.50%EV -3.95%E -1.63%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-24 22:39
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 22:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-24 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:39
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 22:35
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 22:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:39
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.14%E -2.14%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:34
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:38
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.02%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -7.85%E -2.68%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 19:09
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -13.04%E -5.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 22:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:54
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.52%EV -6.72%E -2.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -5.02%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 22:54
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 22:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-24 22:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 22:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.49%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -13.51%E -4.91%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -8.58%E -2.72%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-24 22:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.66%EV -10.27%E -4.53%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.76%EV -9.16%E -2.93%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 22:37
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-24 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.94%E -4.26%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 22:39
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.05%EV -8.30%E -3.58%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 22:39
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-24 22:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.48%E -3.76%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 22:39
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 22:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-24 22:49
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.42%E -3.27%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.06%E -4.92%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.93%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.85%-0.0%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-08-24 22:54
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-24 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-08-24 22:55
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-08-24 22:54